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 Author Thread: It's official - Bush BS'd us into Iraq
 glamour6

Joined: 4/7/2008
Msg: 176
It's official - Bush BS'd us into Iraq
Posted: 6/12/2008 6:57:19 PM
The results of bushes lies speak for themselves. Did we find those WMDS? 5 years later.. 4100 dead american soldiers .. for what? 650,000 dead iraqi civilians... almost a trillion dollars.. wasted.. and the war goes on.. OUr economy is in ruin.. surely that trillion wasted in Iraq would have been better spent domestically?
Apparently you aren't aware that overthrowing Saddam and his regime was not just about WMD. and the 650,000 dead you are claiming...are you saying that our American Military killed 650,000 ? if you're gonna throw around huge numbers like that be able to provide some data as to the breakdown of how exactly the 650,000 people died. Cause if I didn't know better it sounds like you're accusing our excellent military of killing these people deliberately.. the same military that you claim to support.
 Kiss_My_Karma~

Joined: 7/4/2005
Msg: 177
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History
It's official - Bush BS'd us into Iraq
Posted: 6/12/2008 7:03:10 PM

Apparently you aren't aware that overthrowing Saddam and his regime was not just about WMD


Apparently you aren't aware that the reason Bush said we should go to war was not to overthrow Saddam...but to get Al Qaeda.
 flyguy51

Joined: 8/11/2005
Msg: 178
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History
It's official - Bush BS'd us into Iraq
Posted: 6/12/2008 7:05:48 PM
The imperative to invade centered around WMDs, including nukes. Overthrowing Saddam, liberating a nation, installing a democracy, paying for it through control of the oil-- those were all just supposed to be the silver lining. As for the 650K dead-- it may easily be over 1 million-- no one is accusing our soldiers of directly causing all these deaths. Our invasion and our government's criminal negligence set events into motion which caused those deaths.

It's like saying that it wasn't the burning newspaper stuck in your gas tank that blew up your car; it was the gas in your car's tank.
 glamour6

Joined: 4/7/2008
Msg: 179
It's official - Bush BS'd us into Iraq
Posted: 6/12/2008 7:09:26 PM
Evidently you didn't listen to Pres. Bush's address to the American people before the first strike on Baghdad.. he more than explained our reasons for overthrowing Saddam and his regime. I wish the media had covered it because it seems that many people just don't have their facts straight.. the media should have ran the speech 24/7 like they do everything else.
 Kiss_My_Karma~

Joined: 7/4/2005
Msg: 180
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History
It's official - Bush BS'd us into Iraq
Posted: 6/12/2008 7:11:20 PM
Yeah...I must have missed those little footnotes in between "smoke them out of their holes" and "we will find the evildoers"...and oh yes that Osama Bin Laden fellow.
 NERO1

Joined: 3/8/2008
Msg: 181
It's official - Bush BS'd us into Iraq
Posted: 6/12/2008 7:16:23 PM
Whether he mentioned liberation in his pre-bombing raid address or not, the main reason that was given to Congress, the American people, and the international community was centered around the search for "WMD" and the imperative to find them ASAP and prevent a major terrorist attack which was made to sound as though it were (at least possibly -- Cheney's "mushroom cloud") imminent. The people were already scared after 9/11. It was a cynical manipulation of public shell-sh0ck to get so many people in the country to just go along with it like that. The pre-invasion propaganda was overall fairly effective. Yes liberation was cited as well, and if you say it was cited in his pre-invasion address, fine I'd take your word for it. I don't care to look it up and watch it anywhere (if it's available) because it was bad enough the first time. Knowing all we know now, it would be beyond infuriating. But liberation , and so forth, was only brought much more into the forefront after it became evident that there were no "WMD" (which I firmly believe the Bush White House knew there would not be), Hussein was no imminent threat to the US, and eventually it was proven that there was not even any real alQaeda connection.
 glamour6

Joined: 4/7/2008
Msg: 182
It's official - Bush BS'd us into Iraq
Posted: 6/12/2008 7:17:12 PM
Actually it was a very good speech.. there were several reasons for invading Iraq it's just a shame that something as important as an address to the Nation by a President before Iraqi Freedom wasn't taken more seriously by my fellow Americans.. there wouldn't be so much confusion these past few years as to why we overthrew Saddam and his murderous regime.
 flyguy51

Joined: 8/11/2005
Msg: 183
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History
It's official - Bush BS'd us into Iraq
Posted: 6/12/2008 7:24:13 PM
"Doctor! Doctor! She's flatlining!"

*oooooooooohh...*

_________________________
 Bikeman_

Joined: 10/8/2005
Msg: 184
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History
It's official - Bush BS'd us into Iraq
Posted: 6/12/2008 7:28:21 PM

Evidently you didn't listen to Pres. Bush's address to the American people before the first strike on Baghdad
You mean Bush made an understandable speech and didn't mispronounce the word "nukular"? C'mon we were supposed to clear out the WMD; when that turned out to be a ruse, then it turned into a terrorism war, that is only after the USA disrupted Iraq's sovereignty to the point that the terrorists could move in unabated?
 glamour6

Joined: 4/7/2008
Msg: 185
It's official - Bush BS'd us into Iraq
Posted: 6/12/2008 7:28:35 PM
Whether he mentioned liberation in his pre-bombing raid address or not, the main reason that was given to Congress, the American people, and the international community was centered around the search for "WMD" and the imperative to find them ASAP and prevent a major terrorist attack which was made to sound as though it were
actually... that wasn't my impression at all from the historical speech that Bush gave.. but I had background knowledge of Saddams history with the United Nations, as well as atrocities against his own people, Resolution 1441..etc..etc.. and knowing that Madeline Albright Clintons National Security Advisor also believed that Saddam was a threat to his neighbors and the World.. as well as other high ranking Democrats as late as 2001 felt that Saddam was a threat.. so it was really no surprise to me that the Bush administration took action with the United Nations first.. the Resolution 1441 along with Tony Blair. If more people knew what was said about Saddam Hussain prior to 2000 I think many of you would be flabbergasted! it's actually quite astounding how a changing of the guard in the WH can elicit short term memory loss with so many Democrats.
 NERO1

Joined: 3/8/2008
Msg: 186
It's official - Bush BS'd us into Iraq
Posted: 6/12/2008 7:40:04 PM
^^ You are an employer of straw men, ma'am. Interesting article here, I've been reading. It's long; get a cup of coffee. Or skip to the next post. It's from salon.com , I believe it's a couple yrs old but it's feeling pretty relevant still.

THE STRAW MEN OF IRAQ: Ten Pro-War Fallacies

Friday's hastily staged congressional vote on withdrawal from Iraq may have been designed to embarrass John Murtha, but the raucous session offered valuable insight into the various rationales for war and the tactics used to attack Democrats who oppose Bush's Iraq policy. A parade of House Republicans went after the Dems and laid out a surprisingly weak case for the invasion and continued occupation of Iraq. Here, in my view, are ten of the leading pro-war fallacies...

1. VIRTUALLY EVERYONE WHO SAW THE INTELLIGENCE BELIEVED SADDAM HAD WMD, THEREFORE BUSH IS BEING UNFAIRLY SINGLED OUT FOR CRITICISM

The typical framing is: "Democrats got the same intelligence and reached the same conclusion, so blaming Bush for misleading America is purely political." The argument is also presented in 'gotcha' form by people like Sean Hannity, who use a lengthy blind quote about the threat posed by Saddam that turns out to be from Bill Clinton, John Kerry or some other Democrat. The conclusion is that if Bush was lying, they must have been lying too.

There is a false assumption underlying this argument, namely that Dems received the same intel as Bush (they didn't), but setting that aside, here are two reasons why this is a straw man:

a) The issue is not whether people believed Saddam had WMD (many did), or whether there was any evidence that he had WMD (there was), it's the fact that Bush and his administration made an absolute, unconditional case with the evidence at hand, brooking no dissent and dismissing doubters inside and outside the government as cowardly or treasonous. That's what "manipulating the intelligence" and "misleading the public" refers to, the knowing exaggeration of the case for war (whether by cherry-picking intel or using defunct intel or by speaking about ambiguous intel in alarming absolutes). As I wrote in this post: "There we were, more than a decade after the first gulf war, two years after 9/11, and Saddam hadn’t attacked us, he hadn’t threatened to attack us. And then suddenly, he was the biggest threat to America. A threat that required a massive invasion. A bigger threat than Saudi Arabia, North Korea, Iran, Bin Laden. A HUGE, IMMEDIATE threat. It simply defied belief."

b) In addition to the fear-mongering described above, the contention that Bush 'misled' the public is not simply about Saddam's WMD, but about the way the administration stormed ahead with their plans and invaded Iraq in the way they did, at the time they did, with the Pollyannaish visions they fed the world, all the while demonizing dissent and smearing their critics.

In both (a) and (b), the crux of the issue is proportionality. Whether or not Bill Clinton or France or the U.N. believed Saddam was a threat, the administration's apocalyptic words and drastic actions (preemptively invading a sovereign nation) were decidedly out of proportion to the level and immediacy of the threat. THAT is the issue.

2. AFTER 9/11, WE CAN'T WAIT FOR THE THREAT TO MATERIALIZE BEFORE TAKING ACTION

This is often used as a counterpoint to the notion that Bush overhyped the rationale for war. It's a vacuous argument whose logic implies we should invade a half-dozen African countries as well as North Korea, China, Iran, and Saudi Arabia. Every day that goes by that Bush allows these threats to "materialize," he is failing in his duties to protect the American public and should be impeached. And if the pushback is that North Korea and others are being dealt with diplomatically, isn't that exactly the approach this argument purports to refute?

Furthermore, the war's opponents never claimed they'd prefer to "wait" for threats to materialize. This is another straw man. Nobody wants to wait for threats to materialize; they just want to deal with them differently.

3. DEMOCRATS "VOTED FOR" AND THUS "SUPPORTED" THE WAR

The Iraq War Resolution (IWR) debate has been flogged to death, so there's no need to fully resurrect it here. Suffice it to say that:

a) Many elected Democrats did NOT vote in favor of the resolution. Not to mention the millions of rank and filers who marched down the streets of our cities and were largely ignored by the press and brushed off by Bush. So to say, generically, that Democrats "supported the war" or to imply that there was tepid resistance to it, is false.

b) No matter how many people contest this point, a vote to give Bush authority WAS NOT a vote "for war." Bush also had the authority NOT to invade. Since Republicans are so fond of quoting John Kerry in support of the case for WMD, here are his words on the floor of the Senate the day of the Iraq War Resolution vote.

"In giving the President this authority, I expect him to fulfill the commitments he has made to the American people in recent days--to work with the United Nations Security Council to adopt a new resolution setting out tough and immediate inspection requirements, and to act with our allies at our side if we have to disarm Saddam Hussein by force. If he fails to do so, I will be among the first to speak out.

"If we do wind up going to war with Iraq, it is imperative that we do so with others in the international community, unless there is a showing of a grave, imminent--and I emphasize "imminent''--threat to this country which requires the President to respond in a way that protects our immediate national security needs.

"Prime Minister Tony Blair has recognized a similar need to distinguish how we approach this. He has said that he believes we should move in concert with allies, and he has promised his own party that he will not do so otherwise. The administration may not be in the habit of building coalitions, but that is what they need to do. And it is what can be done. If we go it alone without reason, we risk inflaming an entire region, breeding a new generation of terrorists, a new cadre of anti-American zealots, and we will be less secure, not more secure, at the end of the day, even with Saddam Hussein disarmed.

"Let there be no doubt or confusion about where we stand on this. I will support a multilateral effort to disarm him by force, if we ever exhaust those other options, as the President has promised, but I will not support a unilateral U.S. war against Iraq unless that threat is imminent and the multilateral effort has not proven possible under any circumstances."

Not exactly an endorsement of Bush's approach or a vote "for war." And a good retort to those who argue that Democrats are "rewriting history."

4. TALK OF WITHDRAWAL "SENDS THE WRONG MESSAGE" AND "EMBOLDENS THE ENEMY"

To borrow Samuel Johnson's immortal words, this argument, like (false) patriotism, is the "last refuge of scoundrels." Implying that opposing views are treasonous is the surest way to stifle dissent.

And it's a cheap way to avoid confronting hard questions. Such as: Does anyone seriously believe that Bush's course of action in Iraq has intimidated or deterred the enemy? Doesn't the fact that the insurgency is as strong as ever "embolden" the enemy?

The sobering truth is that there are dozens of recent events and actions that 'embolden the enemy' far more than advocating a disciplined, phased redeployment. Torture of detainees, the use of white phosphorus as an offensive weapon, the curtailing of civil liberties at home, the shameful abandonment of American citizens in the aftermath of Katrina, the cynical outing of CIA agents, the smearing of war critics as traitors, these are far more encouraging to America's enemies. If we are truly engaged in a clash of civilizations, an epic battle against "Islamofascism," then our enemies are far more interested in the destruction of those things that are quintessentially American and that give us the moral high ground (freedom of speech, adherence to international law, upholding ethical norms and standards, respect for human rights, etc.) than strategic redeployment in Iraq.

5. A WITHDRAWAL FROM IRAQ WOULD HAVE CATASTROPHIC CONSEQUENCES

If I learned anything from living in Beirut, it's that predicting the outcome of sectarian divisions in the Middle East is a fool's game. The shifting alliances, the internal pressures, the regional influences, make it next to impossible to say whether or not the removal of American forces would further destabilize Iraq.

It's also grimly amusing that we're expected to believe the prognostications of the very people who told us we'd be greeted as liberators.

For every foreign policy expert who says that Iraq will be worse off without U.S. troops, there's another who will tell you the exact opposite is true. In the absence of any sound predictive capabilities, the endgame should be based on the opening: i.e. the sooner you end something that started out wrong and has had terrible consequences, the better.

For those who counter with the Pottery Barn rule (we broke it we should fix it), the question is: What's the statute of limitations on that rule? What if we can't fix what's broken in Iraq? Is there a point at which we acknowledge we can't fix it and stop trying? Is our attempt to 'fix' Iraq breaking it even further? Also, are there other things we've broken that we're obliged to fix before we try to fix Iraq? Is there a reason our limited resources should go to fixing Iraq and not saving poor, sick, and hungry children in America?

6. WITHDRAWING FROM IRAQ IS TANTAMOUNT TO "CUTTING & RUNNING"

Any talk of withdrawal, redeployment or a change in course is characterized as "cutting and running." This word-play is so disingenuous that it hardly merits a rebuttal, but the best response to the notion that a war hero like John Kerry or John Murtha wants to "cut and run" is Murtha's response to Cheney: "I like guys who've never been there that criticize us who've been there. I like that. I like guys who got five deferments and never been there and send people to war, and then don't like to hear suggestions about what needs to be done."

A phased withdrawal is just that, a phased withdrawal. And a timetable is just that, a timetable. Using politically-charged buzzwords won't change the fact that the present course of action is untenable. It is the height of folly to continue on a tragic and deadly path just to save face. And as we pointed out in #3, enough has been done to "embolden the enemy" that leaving Iraq will have little effect in that regard.

For those who think continuing with the current policy in Iraq is a mark of courage and changing direction the mark of cowardice, they should bear in mind that courage tempered by wisdom is noble, courage in defiance of wisdom is foolhardy.

7. WE'RE FIGHTING THEM 'THERE' SO WE DON'T HAVE TO FIGHT THEM HERE

No matter how many times reality intrudes on this fantasy, it's still one of the favored arguments by the war's supporters. And it was repeated more than once in the House debate.

This is yet another straw man: we all agree that it's better to fight our enemies somewhere other than on the streets of America. The problem with the "fight them there" approach is that:

a) Iraq wasn't "there" until AFTER the invasion. (In spite of the mental contortions of Bush apologists who insist there was a substantive Saddam-Qaeda connection.)

b) Our policy in Iraq is creating more of "them."

c) "There" is where "them" (Bin Laden and his cohorts) are. And it ain't Iraq.

A corollary to this argument is that Iraq is the "central front in the war on terror" and we can't defeat the terrorists if we don't fight them there. That's like walking into someone's house, breaking an expensive vase, and claiming you have to move in because your job is to clean up broken vases and as long as vases are being broken, you have to be there to clean up the mess. Arguments don't get more circular than this...

And if remaining in Iraq is really about Bush's resolve to defend America against our enemies by keeping them away from the mainland, let's not forget what Katrina's aftermath tells us about how well this administration is preparing for domestic threats. Imagine the holes in domestic security that could be plugged with the toil and treasure being spent in Iraq.

8. DEMOCRATS DON'T HAVE A PLAN FOR IRAQ, THEY'RE JUST ATTACKING BUSH TO SCORE POLITICAL POINTS

Democrats deserve legitimate criticism for their approach to Iraq, but when the Republican Party controls all branches of government, attacking Dems for conflicting positions and a confused message shouldn't be a catch-all excuse for Republican mistakes and lies.

Saying Democrats are muddled on Iraq is a favorite media distraction. But the response is simple: if Bush's policy is to "stay the course," the Democratic policy - whether we accept Murtha's approach or Feingold's or Kerry's - is to "change the course." Simple enough. Changing positions in light of new evidence and new circumstances is the sign of a mature and rational mind. Stubbornly clinging to a failed course of action is not.

It's fascinating how Democrats are always the ones held to account for their Iraq vote, but not Republicans. The question constantly put to Dems, "you voted for it, now you're against it," has a straightforward answer, as phrased by a Democratic senator: "we authorized Bush to put the bullet in the gun, not to shoot us in the foot." We've been shot in the foot by the administration's Iraq policy. Democrats are rightfully reacting to that. The real question - to Republicans - is this: "You voted for this war based on Saddam's threat to America. The threat never materialized. Was your decision wrong? And does your lockstep allegiance to Bush's failed policy make you personally responsible for further deaths beyond the 2000+ American troops who have already given their lives?"

9. HISTORY WILL VINDICATE BUSH

The infinite time horizon is an easy cop out for supporters of the Iraq war. I wrote this in August: "The problem with the Bush apologists' reasoning is that using an infinite time horizon - which they are so fond of - virtually any action, no matter how egregious, can be shown to lead to some positive results. It’s the **stardization of utilitarianism; asserting a causal relationship between a pre-emptive invasion of a sovereign nation and all future good developments in Iraq and the Middle East may swell the hawks' breasts with pride, but it's a dubious and dangerous way to conduct foreign policy. Which is precisely why we need to adhere so strictly to the rule of law, to basic moral precepts, and to established principles of international relations, something that this administration has failed to do, and that the administration's supporters can dance around but can't justify."

10. ISN'T IT A GOOD THING THAT SADDAM IS GONE?

This is the ultimate fall-back for supporters of this disastrous war. Somber references to mass graves, Saddam gassing his people, liberating the Iraqis from a dictator, spreading freedom, etc., are second only to flag-waving and bumper-sticker "support" for the troops when it comes to feel-good justifications for the fiasco in Iraq.

To human rights activists, this faux-bleeding heart conservatism rings hollow. Considering the unremitting suffering and killing and violence and abuse of innocents that takes place on this planet, it is intellectually dishonest to resort to a retroactive humanitarian rationalization for a war that was ostensibly defensive in nature. Especially when we callously ignore the plight of so many others who suffer in silence.

If the trump card question is "don’t you think it's good that Saddam is gone?" then one rhetorical question can be met with another:

Isn't it terrible that we've done nothing to stop the slaughter in Darfur?
Isn't it terrible that Iraq is still a killing field and now a terrorist breeding ground?
Isn't it terrible that a nuclear armed Kim Jong Il is still in power?
Isn't it terrible that the hundreds of billions of dollars spent in Iraq could have saved millions of starving children instead of killing tens of thousands of Americans and Iraqis?

And so on...


===========

POSTSCRIPT: Washington is suddenly convulsed by a debate that should have taken place three years ago, and the sleeping giant known as the American public is finally awakening to the deceptions that led to war. Emotion, instinct, and other proclivities may be the driving force behind support for or opposition to war, but reason and logic are the means by which we try to prove the correctness of our views. No matter how heartfelt, the arguments in favor of the Iraq war are almost always specious and riddled with fallacious reasoning. On a matter so grave, that should be unacceptable to the American people. Judging from the polls, it is.
 Bikeman_

Joined: 10/8/2005
Msg: 187
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History
It's official - Bush BS'd us into Iraq
Posted: 6/12/2008 7:44:06 PM

it's actually quite astounding how a changing of the guard in the WH can elicit short term memory loss with so many Democrats.
You mean poor memories of misled American citizens, whatever their political affiliation, who pay tax dollars for a war not declared by Congress. If Bush wanted to invade Iraq for everything else, it should have been spelled out in the UN session where Bush got Powell to state the US intended to go into Iraq because of WMD.
 flyguy51

Joined: 8/11/2005
Msg: 188
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History
It's official - Bush BS'd us into Iraq
Posted: 6/12/2008 7:46:08 PM
"Ha! Salon.com? Might as well be called saddam.com."
 glamour6

Joined: 4/7/2008
Msg: 189
It's official - Bush BS'd us into Iraq
Posted: 6/12/2008 9:18:01 PM

^^ You are an employer of straw men, ma'am. Interesting article here, I've been reading. It's long; get a cup of coffee. Or skip to the next post. It's from salon.com , I believe it's a couple yrs old but it's feeling pretty relevant still.
well do you have a link so I can get a better idea of where and who this is coming from? I don't just believe everything I read from unknown sources... I'm kind of anal that way.
 flyguy51

Joined: 8/11/2005
Msg: 190
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History
It's official - Bush BS'd us into Iraq
Posted: 6/12/2008 9:38:27 PM
It's from salon.com and is an article talking about fallacious arguments used in Iraq invasion apologetics. No matter what the source, you either agree with the logic employed therein, or you don't.

Ad hominem, or the fancy latin equating to mean "shoot the messenger rather than the message," is a logical fallacy, by the way.
 Crash1967

Joined: 6/2/2007
Msg: 191
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History
It's official - Bush BS'd us into Iraq
Posted: 6/12/2008 9:43:15 PM

if you're gonna throw around huge numbers like that be able to provide some data as to the breakdown of how exactly the 650,000 people died. Cause if I didn't know better it sounds like you're accusing our excellent military of killing these people deliberately.. the same military that you claim to support.


... are you so foolish really? i had another RN state to me after telling her that the only country i could possibly be in the military with would be the Isreali's because i'm jewish and see that there isn't really a safe place for people who just were born this way.... she went around and told people i said i wished i could join the iraqi army. when the admin hauled me into the office to try to get me to shut up i was told this. i confronted that RN who had 2 freaking college degrees, and said "what are you doing telling people i said i wanted to be in the iraqi army? i'm jewish, i said the isreali army?" she said "what's the difference?"

would Johns Hopkins numbers be good enough for you? the estimate you challenge is low.... but never enough blood for glam.....
 Montreal_Guy

Joined: 3/8/2004
Msg: 192
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It's official - Bush BS'd us into Iraq
Posted: 6/12/2008 10:34:53 PM
Look, just take ONE fact. Concentrate on that one thing, only, OK ?

No National Intelligence Estimate was ever done in the preparation for this war - until a Congressman asked for it, before the war came up for a vote.

The initial request was fought by George Tenet, who finally caved.

NIE's are done ALL the time, they are a critical part of the services provided by the intelligence community, and vital to answer any concerns over another country's policies , etc.


Introduction

A National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) represents the U.S. intelligence community’s most authoritative and coordinated written assessment of a specific national-security issue. The concept of an “estimative” intelligence report was established by the National Security Act of 1947 following the surprise invasion of South Korea by North Korean troops. Since its creation the NIE process has undergone a series of overhauls to increase interagency collaboration. Today as many as seventeen government agencies and departments participate in drafting the documents.

But as former intelligence officer Robert L. Suettinger notes in his history of the NIE, intelligence estimates are by definition controversial products. “In discussing large or complex topics,” Suettinger writes, “National Intelligence Estimates necessarily have to delve into a realm of speculation.” The most cited recent example of a poorly drafted NIE is the October 2002 prewar estimate on Iraq’s weapons of mass destruction (PDF). In July 2004, the Senate Select Intelligence Committee found that “most of the major key judgments” in the 2002 Iraq NIE—which were cited by President Bush and other policymakers in their case for war—“either overstated, or were not supported by, the underlying intelligence reporting.” Changes made to the NIE process after the 2002 Iraq report have been incorporated into recent estimates, including the November 2007 assessment of Iranian nuclear ambitions.
Intelligence Gatekeepers

Intelligence estimates are coordinated by the National Intelligence Council (NIC), which reports directly to the Director of National Intelligence (DNI) and is the intelligence community’s “center for mid-term and long-term strategic thinking.” The NIC employs thirteen National Intelligence Officers—senior experts drawn from agencies of the intelligence community and from outside the government—who, among their other responsibilities, head up the NIE writing process. The current chairman of the NIC is Thomas Fingar, who also serves as deputy director of national intelligence for analysis.
The NIE Writing Process

The NIE process from inception to completion progresses as follows:

* A senior executive branch official, a committee chair of the House or Senate, or a senior military official can request an NIE. An estimate can also be initiated independently by the National Intelligence Council. The request is authorized by the Director of National Intelligence.

* The NIC prepares the terms of reference, an outline of the key issues, and questions to be covered in the estimate.

* Before an NIE is drafted the intelligence officer produces a terms of reference paper, or TOR, meant to define the key questions the NIE is to address; sets drafting responsibilities; and establishes a publication schedule. The TOR is circulated throughout the intelligence community for comment.

* The intelligence officer selects a lead drafter of the NIE or directs another intelligence analyst or outside expert to do so. The draft is typically reviewed by the NIC before it is sent to the U.S. government agencies that are members of the intelligence community, or compile national intelligence on the relevant issue.

* Agency experts review the draft and prepare comments.

* Agency representatives meet and discuss the report at an interagency coordination session.

* Intelligence is vetted by the National Clandestine Service within the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) to eliminate potentially questionable or unreliable sources.

* A final draft is distributed for final review to intelligence community experts for their review. In addition, the NIE often includes a summary of the opinions of experts outside the government.

* The NIC reviews the final draft and then forwards it to the National Intelligence Board (PDF). The board is composed of senior representatives of the intelligence community and is chaired by the DNI.

* Once an NIE is approved by the National Intelligence Board it is delivered to the requester as well as the president, senior policymakers, and relevant members of Congress.

Up to seventeen agencies and departments are generally involved in the process. They include:

* Office of the Director of National Intelligence
* The Army, Navy, Air Force, and Marine Corps intelligence organizations
* The Central Intelligence Agency (CIA)
* Coast Guard Intelligence
* The Defense Intelligence Agency
* The Department of Energy
* The Department of Homeland Security
* The Department of State’s Bureau of Intelligence and Research (INR)
* The Department of the Treasury
* U.S. Drug Enforcement Administration
* The Federal Bureau of Investigation
* The National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency (formerly the National Imagery and Mapping Agency)
* The National Reconnaissance Office
* The National Security Agency

Recent NIE Contributions

The intelligence community drafts NIE documents covering a wide range of issues; hundreds have been written in the last six decades. Suettinger writes that 1,500 estimates were produced between 1950 and 1973 alone. Most recent NIE assessments, however, have remained classified. Intelligence estimates that do reach the public domain are typically declassified key judgments, not the entire NIE. Since 2006 DNI has released key judgments on trends in global terrorism (PDF); the terrorist threat to the homeland (PDF); two NIEs on prospects for stability in Iraq (PDF); as well as the Iran nuclear NIE. The president and the director of national intelligence have the authority to declassify all or part of an NIE.

http://www.cfr.org/publication/7758/national_intelligence_estimates.html


So the US government, and it's intelligence agencies, literally do THOUSANDS of these NIE's on all sorts of subjects concerning various issues .

Here's a good video on the process:

http://www.thewashingtonnote.com/archives/2008/06/thomas_fingar_o/

Got that part ?

OK....

They DIDN'T do one before pushing for invading Iraq.

"Danger Will Robinson Danger !"


E. The National Intelligence Estimate

( ) At the same time DELETED, the IC was preparing the National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) on Iraq's Continuing Programs for Weapons of Mass Destruction. In mid-September 2002, in both hearings and in letters, Members of the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence (SSCI) requested that the CIA. publish an NIE on Iraq's weapons of mass destruction (WMD) programs. Committee Members expressed concerns that they would be expected to vote on an Iraq Resolution shortly and had no NIE on which to base their vote.

(U) On September 12, 2002, the DCI officially directed the National Intelligence Officer (NIO) for Strategic and Nuclear Programs to begin to draft an NIE. The National Intelligence Council (NIC) staff drew the discussion of nuclear reconstitution for the draft NIE largely from an August 2002 CIA assessment and a September 2002 DIA assessment, Iraq's Reemerging Nuclear Weapons Programs. The NIO sent a draft of the entire NIE to IC analysts on September 23, 2002 for coordination and comments and held an interagency coordination meeting on September 25, 2002 to discuss the draft and work out any changes.

http://www.globalsecurity.org/intell/library/
congress/2004_rpt/iraq-wmd-intell_chapter2-e.htm


September 12, 2002 and it's only requested THEN ? The war's already being planned for, troops are being prepared, and there's no NIE done on it yet ?

LEGISLATORS ask for it ?

And take a guess how long it took them to prepare one ?

Twenty days......

That's not enough time to do one properly , and vet it.


(U) In an unclassified letter dated September 9, 2002, Senator Richard Durbin wrote to Director of Central Intelligence (DCI) Tenet, expressing concern that the IC had not drafted an NIE on the status of Iraq's WMD program, and requested that the DCI "direct the production" of such an NIE - expressing the belief that "policymakers in both the executive branch and the Congress will benefit from the production of a coordinated, consensus document produced by all relevant components of the Intelligence Community" on this topic. Senator Durbin also requested that the DCI "produce an unclassified summary of this NIE" so "the American public can better understand this important issue."

(U) On September 10, 2002, then Committee Chairman Bob Graham sent a second letter to DCI Tenet requesting the production of an NIE, "on the status of Iraq's programs to develop weapons of mass destruction and delivery systems; the status of the Iraqi military forces, including their readiness and willingness to fight; the effects a U.S.-led attack on Iraq would have on its neighbors; and Saddam Hussein's likely response to a U.S. military campaign designed to effect regime change in Iraq."

(U) On September 13, 2002, Senator Diane Feinstein wrote to President Bush to request his assistance in ensuring that the DCI prepare, on an immediate basis, an NIE "assessing the nature, magnitude and immediacy of the threat posed to the United States by Iraq." Senator Feinstein added that "there has not been a formal rigorous Intelligence Community assessment, such as a National Intelligence Estimate, addressing the issues relating to Iraq, and I deeply believe that such an estimate is vital to Congressional decision making, and most specifically, any resolution which may come before the Senate."

(U) On September 17, 2002, Senator Carl Levin, SSCI Member and Chairman of the Senate Armed Services Committee, wrote to DCI Tenet stating that it was "imperative" for the IC to prepare an NIE on Iraq, "including the central question of the current state of Iraq's weapons of mass destruction programs." Senator Levin asked that the NIE address a number of issues including Iraq's WMD holdings, development facilities, acquisition activities, denial and deception activities, deployment, doctrine for employment, means of delivery; the likelihood that Saddam Hussein would use WMD against the U.S., our allies, or our interests; the likelihood that Iraq would comply with UN resolutions; and Iraq's terrorist activities.

(U) During a September 17, 2002 SSCI Committee hearing, Senator Richard Lugar noted that an NIE had not been produced on Iraq and said that the President, therefore, did not have the benefit of such an Estimate. The DCI responded that the IC had written several NIEs on the world wide missile threat which each included discussions of Iraq's WMD programs and said, "I see the President every morning, six days a week. He gets the intelligence I provide . . ."

(U) Nevertheless, the National Intelligence Officer (NIO) for Strategic and Nuclear Programs, testified at an October 2, 2002 SSCI hearing that the DCI did direct him to prepare an NIE and he had begun to work on it as soon as he became aware of Senator Graham's request. The NIO testified that the NIE had been completed in just three weeks, noting, "normally, Estimates take months to put together. To put one together in a matter of weeks, especially one with the depth this has, is fast-paced." The Vice Chairman of the National Intelligence Council (NIC) told Committee staff that a due date of October 1, 2002 had been worked out between the Central Intelligence Agency's (CIA) Office of Congressional Affairs and the Committee. Neither CIA's Office of Congressional Affairs nor the Committee have documentation to show that such a deadline was established.

(U) During the course of the Committee's review of the intelligence assessments on Iraq's WMD programs, several analysts involved with the production of the October 2002 NIE, including analysts from the Central Intelligence Agency, Department of Energy (DOE), Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) and the Department of State's Bureau of Intelligence and Research (INR), commented on the unusually rapid time frame for completion of this document. Many of these analysts believed that the rapid time period in which the NIE was produced negatively impacted the quality of the final document. Several indicated that, if they had more time, they would have been able to more carefully consider how the language in the document portrayed their analysis, but many also said that they believed their "bottom line" judgments would have remained the same. The analysts' comments about the fast pace of the NIE's production follow below.

* An INR chemical and biological weapons (CBW) analyst told Committee staff, "there's no question in my mind that the process was rushed and I've never participated in an NIE that was coordinated in the manner in which this was." The analysts said that more time would have allowed, "the key judgments to better reflect what was in the back of the book . . . we failed in adequately coordinating the key judgments." He noted that this is a particular concern because many readers do not read more than the key judgments.

* A DOE analyst told Committee staff that "if we would have been allowed more time . . . possibly some of the issues that are being sifted through during these discussions here would have been hashed out more at the working level throughout the Intelligence Community. Some of the pieces of evidence that we have found that contradict others' assertions may have been able to be laid out better on the table and we would have had a better understanding, maybe, of others' views through written product."

* A CIA nuclear analyst said that "the comments in regards to vigorously pursuing uranium from Africa without caveat are ones that I would look back and say that I wish that we had bothered to caveat that statement. Just from a trade craft perspective, we usually don't say things with absolute certainty unless we have absolute proof." He said that the fast pace of the NIE "contributed to, I think, to what should have been a caveated statement and not catching that at the time."

* A DOE analyst said, "people were coming to the table in the process that normally takes four to six months to work its way through, with several meetings and a little bit of blood on the floor, and lots of good scientific debate did not occur."

* A CIA chemical weapons (CW) analyst stated that the amount of time given the analysts to complete the NIE was "extremely unusual," and that while she would have liked to have seen some "word smithing" changes to the document, she noted that "none of the bottom lines we would have changed." She added that "mainly we would have liked to have had time to look over the draft again after we provided all of our changes and the other agencies had provided their changes."

* A CIA biological weapons (BW) analyst told Committee staff, "we had enough time to comment, and analytically I didn't have any problems with it, but we made some errors." She noted that the statement in the key judgments of the NIE that Baghdad had chemical and biological weapons, "does not as accurately reflect the body of the text as it could." She said, "you can extrapolate that we assessed Baghdad did have biological and chemical weapons, but it would have been more accurate if one of the caveats which you see in the text had been included in that sentence." She said it would have been more accurate to say "we assess that Baghdad has chemical and biological weapons."

* A CIA CW analyst also told Committee staff that "we would have felt more comfortable with 'we judge that' Iraq has chemical and biological weapons," rather than "Iraq had chemical and biological weapons" as stated in the key judgments of the NIE. She also pointed out that the key judgments said, "Iraq's chemical industry was rebuilt primarily to support the CW program," but said, "we don't think it was 'primarily.' We think that the program was benefitting from it, but we don't think that's why they were rebuilding the industry."

* An INR analyst told Committee staff that although he did not agree with the NIE's key judgments statement that Iraq was developing a "UAV (unmanned aerial vehicle) probably intended to deliver biological warfare agents." When asked why he did not join the Air Force's footnote he said, "it's probably an example of the speed of the process."

* A senior INR analyst said, ". . . you don't really have much time, even in a two-day meeting that covers one country's entire WMD and delivery system capabilities as well as a section on doctrine and a terrorism section, to really get down in the weeds and make sure you feel comfortable in understanding all of the analytic processes and thoughts that went into how the drafting agency put their words together. It just doesn't happen."

(U) Most analysts believed that the errors or inconsistencies that would have been caught were not problems that would have changed their fundamental judgments about Iraq's weapons of mass destruction programs. Some also pointed out that much of the text for the NIE had been pulled from previously written and coordinated IC products, meaning that analysts had previously had the opportunity to comment on the language.

* A CIA delivery system analyst noted that"... this was pulled together from pieces of stuff we'd already written, so it wasn't as well polished as we would like. It didn't flow very well. It was pieces pulled together. But we couldn't argue with what was said because this is what we had written in previous publications."

* A DOE analyst said, "I don't really think [the NIE] suffered, because . . . we got our position in there about the [aluminum] tubes and what we thought. . . . So I did think it turned out fair in the end, in my opinion."

http://www.globalsecurity.org/intell/library/congress/
2004_rpt/iraq-wmd-intell_chapter11.htm


The administration is rushing headlong into a war, and legislator after legislator is going "Where's the NIE , what are we basing this on ? "

Something that normally takes months, done in roughly three weeks.


t is telling that, in the more than two-year run-up to the March 2003 invasion of Iraq, nobody in the Bush administration sought to commission a National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) on Saddam Hussein's WMD programs. Perhaps it is unsurprising that they did not want such an estimate. An estimate, if conducted over a period of months, would undoubtedly have revealed deep skepticism about the threat posed by Saddam's weapons program. It would have exposed major gaps in the intelligence picture, particularly since the pullout of U.N. weapons inspectors from Iraq at the end of 1998, and it would have likely undercut the rush to war. It was only as a result of intense pressure from Sen. Bob Graham (D-FL.), chairman of the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence, that the intelligence community was finally tasked, in September 2002, to produce an NIE on Saddam's WMD programs. The report was to be rushed to completion in three weeks, so it could reach the desks of the relevant congressional committee members before a vote on war-powers authorization scheduled for early October, on the eve of the midterm elections. As the NIE went forward for approval, everyone knew that there were major problems with it.

THE NIE CONTAMINATION
Two other major INC-foisted fabrications made their way into the NIE and from there into policy speeches by top Bush administration officials, including the president, the vice president and the secretaries of Defense and State. The first involved claims that Iraq had mobile biological-weapons labs that could produce deadly agents. The declassified version of the October 2002 NIE stated, "Baghdad has mobile facilities for producing bacterial and toxin BW agents; these facilities can evade detection and are highly survivable. Within three to six months, these units probably could produce an amount of agent equal to the total that Iraq produced in the years prior to the Gulf war." The same claim was a dramatic highlight of Colin Powell's February 5, 2003, presentation before the Security Council.

But, a subsequent review of the intelligence files -- long after the NIE had been produced -- revealed that the sole source for the mobile-lab story was an Iraqi military defector, a major, who had been produced by the INC via the "Information Collection Program." The CIA and DIA had both given warnings about the defector, after concluding that he was a fabricator. But, as CIA Director Tenet would later admit in a February 2004 speech at Georgetown University, those warnings fell on deaf ears. The fabrication judgment was shown to be correct after the U.S. invasion, when two of the mobile labs were captured. They were, as other Iraqi sources had claimed, mobile facilities for producing hydrogen for weather balloons.

A somewhat different fiasco occurred on the issue of the equally inflammatory claim that Iraq had unmanned airborne vehicles (UAVs), outfitted to deliver biological and chemical weapons. Allegations about the UAVs surfaced in early September 2002, prompting both CIA Director Tenet and Vice President Cheney to visit House and Senate leaders on the day Congress reconvened after the Labor Day recess to present their new "smoking gun" argument for war. The UAV story appeared in President Bush's October 7, 2002, speech in Cincinnati. It was also featured in Colin Powell's Security Council presentation four months later. Powell warned the Council then that "Iraq could use these small UAVs, which have a wingspan of only a few meters, to deliver biological agents to its neighbors or, if transported, to other countries, including the United States."

Yet the declassified version of the October 2002 NIE, while reporting that "Baghdad's UAVs could threaten Iraq's neighbors, U.S. forces in the Persian Gulf and, if brought close to or into the United States, the U.S. homeland," also noted that "the Director, Intelligence, Surveillance and Reconnaissance, US Air Force, does not agree that Iraq is developing UAVs primarily intended to be delivery platforms for chemical and biological warfare (CBW) agents. The small size of Iraq's new UAV strongly suggests a primary role of reconnaissance, although CBW delivery is an inherent capability." Indeed, the specifications of the Iraqi UAVs, known to U.S. Air Force Intelligence, proved that they were ill-suited for CBW dissemination. According to several news accounts, even the formulation that "CBW delivery is an inherent capability" was foisted upon the Air Force during the negotiating sessions over the final wording of the NIE.

The subversion of the intelligence process was death by a thousand cuts, a cumulative process of badgering in which the pipeline of disinformation from the INC, through OSP, to the desk of the vice president played a decisive role.

Vincent Cannistraro puts it this way:

Over a long period of time, there was a subtle process of pressure and intimidation until people started giving them what was wanted . . . . When the Senate Intelligence Committee interviewed, under oath, over 100 analysts, not one of them said, �I changed my assessment because of pressure.' . . . The environment was conditioned in such a way that the analyst subtly leaned toward the conceits of the policymakers. . . .The intelligence community was vulnerable to the aggressiveness of neoconservative policymakers, particularly at the Pentagon and at the VP's office. As one analyst said to me, �You can't fight something with nothing, and those people had something. Whether it was right or wrong, fraudulent or specious, it almost didn't make any difference, because the policymakers believed it already, and if you didn't have hard countervailing evidence to persuade them, then you were at a loss.'

Lt. Col. Dale Davis (USMC, ret.) concurs that the intelligence process was badly subverted by a "political operation." Davis, through March 2004, headed International Programs at the Virginia Military Institute. A fluent Arabic speaker, he has served throughout the Arab world. Davis initially said that he did not think that the intelligence analysts were pressured, "per se":

They created an organization that would give them the answers they wanted. Or at least piece together a very compelling case by rummaging through all the various intelligence reports and picking out the best, the most juicy, but quite often the most flimsy pieces of information. . . . By creating the OSP, Cheney was able to say, �Hey, look at what we're getting out of OSP. How come you guys aren't doing as well? What is your response to what this alternative analysis that we're receiving from the Pentagon says?' That's how you do it. You pressure people indirectly.


"Drinking the Kool-Aid"

W. Patrick Lang

Col. Lang is president of Global Resources, Inc. and former defense intelligence officer at the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA).


http://www.mepc.org/journal_vol11/0406_lang.asp


And the pre-war rhetoric on Iraq - from the same people that pushed it ?


02-11-2000 Candidate Bush Says "There won't be any WMD left in Iraq"
Bush also defended his father's decision to end the 1991 Persian Gulf War without sending troops after Saddam Hussein, and said as president he would ensure Iraq didn't develop weapons of mass destruction.

"If we catch them developing weapons of mass destruction, there won't be any weapons of mass destruction left in Iraq if I'm the commander in chief," Bush told reporters, without giving details. "I'm not going to tell you what I mean, because I'm not going to tell Saddam Hussein what I mean."

CNN - Politics, published 02-11-2000



02-04-2001 Powell can't confirm WMD, but says "we reserve the right to use whatever means necessary" if Saddam has WMD
MR. DONALDSON: First, do you think he has been developing weapons of mass destruction? Do you have any evidence?

SECRETARY POWELL: Well, we have to assume that he has never lost his goal or gone away from his goal of developing such weapons. And that is unfortunate because, as long as he pursues that goal, the United Nations has to remain engaged. He made a commitment at the end of the Gulf War that he would not develop these weapons and he would demonstrate to the international community that he was not doing so. He has failed to meet those obligations.

And as a result, the people of the region are threatened; the children of the region are threatened by Saddam Hussein and his potential possession of these kinds of weapons.

MR. DONALDSON: What you seem to be suggesting to me that, at the moment, you don't have enough evidence to believe that you should follow through on President Bush's words to take out those weapons.

SECRETARY POWELL: We reserve the right to use whatever means may be necessary if we had a specific set of targets, or something occurred to us, or we found something that we think would be appropriate to go after.

ABC - This Week, published 02-04-2002


02-11-2001 Rumsfeld: Iraq Not a Nuclear Threat
Mr. SNOW: Is Iraq a nuclear threat?

Mr. RUMSFELD: Iraq is probably not a nuclear threat at the present time. There's no question but that its nuclear capabilities were well advanced, and much farther advanced than Western intelligence capabilities knew. And we were very fortunate that the Israelis went in some time before, and took out their nuclear capability.

Fox News Sunday, published 02-11-2001


02-11-2001 Powell: Saddam much weaker but still a threat
MS. BORGER: This is, as you know, the tenth anniversary of the Gulf War. Do you believe Saddam Hussein is stronger or weaker than he was?

SECRETARY POWELL: He's weaker, he's much weaker. That million-man army of ten years ago is gone. He is sitting on a very much smaller army of perhaps 350,000 that does not have the capacity to invade its neighbors any longer. He is living in three concentric rings of jails that he has created for himself in order to protect himself behind a security cordon. He has a great deal of money available to him through our Oil-for-Food Program, which he refuses to use entirely for the benefit of his people and for his children. Instead, he continues to pursue weapons of mass destruction to threaten the people and children of the region.

CBS - Face the Nation, published 02-12-2001



02-22-2001 Bush: We won't tolerate [Saddam] developing WMD
THE PRESIDENT: We're reviewing all policy in all regions of the world, and one of the areas we've been spending a lot of time on is the Persian Gulf and the Middle East. The Secretary of State is going to go listen to our allies as to how best to effect a policy, the primary goal of which will be to say to Saddam Hussein, we won't tolerate you developing weapons of mass destruction and we expect you to leave your neighbors alone.

I have said that the sanction regime is like Swiss cheese. That meant that they weren't very effective. And we're going to review current sanction policy, and review options as to how to make the sanctions work. But the primary goal is to make it clear to Saddam that we expect him to be a peaceful neighbor in the region and we expect him not to develop weapons of mass destruction. And if we find him doing so, there will be a consequence.

Press Conference by the President, published 02-22-2001


02-22-2001 Bush: We won't tolerate [Saddam] developing WMD
THE PRESIDENT: We're reviewing all policy in all regions of the world, and one of the areas we've been spending a lot of time on is the Persian Gulf and the Middle East. The Secretary of State is going to go listen to our allies as to how best to effect a policy, the primary goal of which will be to say to Saddam Hussein, we won't tolerate you developing weapons of mass destruction and we expect you to leave your neighbors alone.

I have said that the sanction regime is like Swiss cheese. That meant that they weren't very effective. And we're going to review current sanction policy, and review options as to how to make the sanctions work. But the primary goal is to make it clear to Saddam that we expect him to be a peaceful neighbor in the region and we expect him not to develop weapons of mass destruction. And if we find him doing so, there will be a consequence.

Press Conference by the President, published 02-22-2001


02-24-2001 Powell: Saddam has "no significant WMD capability"
…[Saddam] has not developed any significant capability with respect to weapons of mass destruction. He is unable to project conventional power against his neighbors.

Press Remarks with Foreign Minister of Egypt, published 02-24-2001


03-06-2001 Powell: Sanctions will prevent Iraq from acquiring WMD
Secretary of State Colin Powell said the modified Iraq sanctions policy will prevent Iraqi leader Saddam Hussein from acquiring weapons of mass destruction but allow Iraqi civilians to obtain needed consumer goods.

"We will keep them from developing their military capability again, just the way we have for the last ten years, but we will not be the ones to blame because the Iraqi people, it is claimed, are not getting what they need to take care of their children or to take care of their needs," Powell said at a press conference with Swedish Foreign Minister Anna Lindh in Washington March 6.

Powell said he has received expressions of support from Arab leaders about the modified Iraq sanctions policy.

State Dept - Washington File, published 03-06-2001


03-08-2001 Powell explains changes in Iraq sanctions policy - Iraq not "full fledged threat"
Powell told the Senate Foreign Relations Committee March 8 that the United Nations sanctions regime has kept Iraqi President Saddam Hussein in check. "Even though we know he is working on weapons of mass destruction, we know he has things squirreled away, at the same time we have not seen that capacity emerge to present a full fledged threat to us," he said.

State Dept - Washington File, published 03-08-2001

04-30-2001 2000 State Dept Terror report: No mention of ties between Iraq and Islamic fundamentalist terrorism.
"Iraq planned and sponsored international terrorism in 2000. Although Baghdad focused on antidissident activity overseas, the regime continued to support various terrorist groups. The regime has not attempted an anti-Western terrorist attack since its failed plot to assassinate former President Bush in 1993 in Kuwait.

Several expatriate terrorist groups continued to maintain offices in Baghdad, including the Arab Liberation Front, the inactive 15 May Organization, the Palestine Liberation Front (PLF), and the Abu Nidal organization (ANO). PLF leader Abu Abbas appeared on state-controlled television in the fall to praise Iraq's leadership in rallying Arab opposition to Israeli violence against Palestinians. The ANO threatened to attack Austrian interests unless several million dollars in a frozen ANO account in a Vienna bank were turned over to the group.

The Iraq-supported Iranian terrorist group, Mujahedin-e Khalq (MEK), regularly claimed responsibility for armed incursions into Iran that targeted police and military outposts, as well as for mortar and bomb attacks on security organization headquarters in various Iranian cities. MEK publicists reported that in March group members killed an Iranian colonel having intelligence responsibilities. An MEK claim to have wounded a general was denied by the Iranian Government. The Iraqi regime deployed MEK forces against its domestic opponents."

State Dept - "Overview of State-Sponsored Terrorism", published 04-30-2001

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
A 2001 State department Report on terrorism :

Middle East Overview

Patterns of Global Terrorism -2000
Released by the Office of the Coordinator for Counterterrorism
April 2001

http://web.archive.org/web/20010504012003/www.state.gov
/s/ct/rls/pgtrpt/2000/index.cfm?docid=2438

NO MENTION of Iraq.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

05-15-2001 Powell: Iraq has not been successful in developing WMD
SENATOR BENNETT: Mr. Secretary, the U.N. sanctions on Iraq expire the beginning of June. We've had bombs dropped, we've had threats made, we've had all kinds of activity vis-a-vis Iraq in the previous administration. Now we're coming to the end. What's our level of concern about the progress of Saddam Hussein's chemical and biological weapons programs?

SECRETARY POWELL: The sanctions, as they are called, have succeeded over the last 10 years, not in deterring him from moving in that direction, but from actually being able to move in that direction. The Iraqi regime militarily remains fairly weak. It doesn't have the capacity it had 10 or 12 years ago. It has been contained. And even though we have no doubt in our mind that the Iraqi regime is pursuing programs to develop weapons of mass destruction -- chemical, biological and nuclear -- I think the best intelligence estimates suggest that they have not been terribly successful. There's no question that they have some stockpiles of some of these sorts of weapons still under their control, but they have not been able to break out, they have not been able to come out with the capacity to deliver these kinds of systems or to actually have these kinds of systems that is much beyond where they were 10 years ago.

So containment, using this arms control sanctions regime, I think has been reasonably successful. We have not been able to get the inspectors back in, though, to verify that, and we have not been able to get the inspectors in to pull up anything that might be left there. So we have to continue to view this regime with the greatest suspicion, attribute to them the most negative motives, which is quite well-deserved with this particular regime, and roll the sanctions over, and roll them over in a way where the arms control sanctions really go after their intended targets -- weapons of mass destruction -- and not go after civilian goods or civilian commodities that we really shouldn't be going after, just let that go to the Iraqi people. That wasn't the purpose of the oil-for-food program. And by reconfiguring them in that way, I think we can gain support for this regime once again.

When we came into office on the 20th of January, the whole sanctions regime was collapsing in front of our eyes. Nations were bailing out on it. We lost the consensus for this kind of regime because the Iraqi regime had successfully painted us as the ones causing the suffering of the Iraqi people, when it was the regime that was causing the suffering. They had more than enough money; they just weren't spending it in the proper way. And we were getting the blame for it. So reconfiguring the sanctions, I think, helps us and continues to contain the Iraqi regime.

Testimony before the Senate Appropriations Commitee, published 05-15-2001

Source all :

http://www.downingstreetmemo.com/timeline/index


So do you get the picture now, just this one aspect of it ?

We have statement after statement from this administration that Iraq's no threat , either from WMD's , or terrorism. Repeated ones, over and over again.

Then suddenly , it's war.

And no NIE is even done to verify the facts to the highest level of certainty.

The one that is done, under pressure, is rushed and badly flawed. The entire process behind it has been corrupted from the start.

That's why you were lied to.
 glamour6

Joined: 4/7/2008
Msg: 193
It's official - Bush BS'd us into Iraq
Posted: 6/12/2008 10:43:01 PM

who pay tax dollars for a war not declared by Congress
um excuse me but have your taxes been raised due to the War? evidently you were selected and I wasn't.
 flyguy51

Joined: 8/11/2005
Msg: 194
view profile
History
It's official - Bush BS'd us into Iraq
Posted: 6/12/2008 10:53:29 PM
^^^ Yes. It's the hidden tax of the falling value of the dollar. Sneaky, isn't it? Maybe it will help with the trade deficit, though...
 glamour6

Joined: 4/7/2008
Msg: 195
It's official - Bush BS'd us into Iraq
Posted: 6/13/2008 6:00:19 AM
That's why you were lied to.
I'm sorry but I don't feel "lied to" the current Administration did what they said they were going to do.. overthrowing Saddam and his regime and creating a Democracy.. they never said it was going to be easy.. in fact quite the contrary.. no administration could undertake such a task without flaws.
 flyguy51

Joined: 8/11/2005
Msg: 196
view profile
History
It's official - Bush BS'd us into Iraq
Posted: 6/13/2008 9:48:50 AM

they never said it was going to be easy..

Politicians love short memories in a voter. This one may be the next prez:

http://youtube.com/watch?v=h-a5T0HsJpw

They all said it was going to be easy. Remember the first Gulf War? It looked easy.
 brandiw

Joined: 4/6/2006
Msg: 197
view profile
History
It's official - Bush BS'd us into Iraq
Posted: 6/13/2008 10:33:06 AM

I'm sorry but I don't feel "lied to" the current Administration did what they said they were going to do.. overthrowing Saddam and his regime and creating a Democracy


But that wasn't the first, second or even third reason that the administration gave for going to war. It was only after it was proven that they were full of it on everything else that removing Saddam Hussein and his "brutal regime" became an issue. Not liking someone is no reason to invade a country. Why DON'T you feel lied to? Why have you fallen for it so easily?


they never said it was going to be easy.. in fact quite the contrary.. no administration could undertake such a task without flaws.


Yes, because throwing terms around like "cakewalk" , "6 months" or even "mission accomplished" were never used by officials in the days before the war actually started (and during) to assure the american people that the war in Iraq would be easy and quick.... oh... wait!
 Kanaduh

Joined: 5/22/2008
Msg: 198
It's official - Bush BS'd us into Iraq
Posted: 6/13/2008 10:41:50 AM

Why have you fallen for it so easily?


The lefties always try to make everything out to have some hidden agenda.. Put the tin foil hat away and let the people that know what they are doing run the country.
 Crash1967

Joined: 6/2/2007
Msg: 199
view profile
History
It's official - Bush BS'd us into Iraq
Posted: 6/13/2008 11:52:12 AM
^^^ how can you see the foil hats with those blinders on??

.... who needs conspiracy when we have people like you defending the murder of children?
 bigshrek

Joined: 11/15/2007
Msg: 200
view profile
History
It's official - Bush BS'd us into Iraq
Posted: 6/13/2008 12:24:28 PM
I know most of the folks posting here aren't as aged as I, but do any of you remember Col. Ollie North??

I just mention that because he's the guy who SOLD the WMD's to the Iraqi's so they could give Iran some headaches.. Big thing on TV for a year & a half...but hey, who pays attention to the news??

After all, it's not like we had a list of everything Ollie & the French sold, right?? Oh, wait...we DO.

And it's not like we don't know where all the stuff is that we & the French SOLD Saddam, right?? Oh, wait, we STILL haven't found or accounted for about half of it.

Someone wanna tell me where all the stuff that is STILL listed as MISSING on the UN's list is?? or at least Who Saddam might have sold it to??
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