online dating service

Free Dating Site    

REGISTER | MAIL/PROFILE | HELP | NOW ONLINE | SEARCH | RATING | FORUMS | SUCCESS STORIES
Plentyoffish dating forums are a place to meet singles and get dating advice or share dating experiences etc. Hopefully you will all have fun meeting singles and try out this online dating thing... Remember that we are the largest 100% free online dating service, so you will never have to pay a dime to meet your soulmate.
     
Show ALL Forums  > Science/philosophy  > Future of manned space flight      Mod Threads Home login  
Page 5 of 5 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
 Author Thread: Future of manned space flight
 deagleninja

Joined: 8/13/2006
Msg: 101
Future of manned space flight
Posted: 3/24/2007 11:46:59 AM

^^^ They are not even designing a vehicle to replace the 30 year old space shuttle that is falling apart to take the crew to low earth orbit. Mars is long shot.


Actually the design for the shuttle replacement has already been selected. Unfortunately, like all government projects it is not going to deliver on what it is designed to do and costs overruns are already being seen. Originally the shuttle was sold to the American public as a 'reusuable' vehicle capable of 100+ lift-offs a year. I think the best we ever managed was 5 or perhaps 6...


You've asked if the millitary spending in general has made the world "better". Since you gave no definition of "better" I'll assume that "any people left alive" is "better" than "no people left alive" and posit a hypothetical.


Jerry, you're a 'military man' so obviously you see the countless trillions we've spent since WW2 as money well spent. And you are entitled to your opinion just as I am, and I strongly disagree.


I responded with the quote you've cited, establishing that the Russian MILLITARY were capable of putting up an orbital, cargo-and-crew-carrying spacecraft for what you cited a private firm putting up a sub-orbital two-man, paload-less craft.


Which is why I corrected you by letting you know the actual cost of a Soyuz spacecraft as well as the fact that Scaled Composite's two air/spacecraft are entirely resuable while a new Soyuz must be purchased everytime. The two aren't even close Jerry...


Then why didn't you know that GPS was US Millitary? I don't trust you at all because you've been so catigorically wrong on such a well-known fact.


Nice try, but GPS isn't the only thing you mentioned. You claimed that the military was responsible for: finding lost hikers, dicovering oil reserves, saving lives due to accurate weather forecasts, etc. I was merely pointing out that many of those benefits come from either the private sector or non-militray progrmas such as NASA.


As I have mentioned, a space elevator would require the manufacture of sometihng we don't even know to be possible, much less possible to manufacture.


Carbon nanotubes are the material of choice so far. I've included a link so you can read up on them.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carbon_nanotube

As for manufacturing them, that will require nanotech to advance somewhat which is why I made the comment 'right around the corner' as opposed to 'I have some in my pocket!'.
The good news is in the past 5 years incredible strides have been made in this field. Perhaps the most stiking of which is a 'nano-conveyor belt' capable of delivering materials on a molecular level.
 arri

Joined: 10/5/2005
Msg: 102
Future of manned space flight
Posted: 3/25/2007 8:24:32 PM

Actually the design for the shuttle replacement has already been selected. Unfortunately, like all government projects it is not going to deliver on what it is designed to do and costs overruns are already being seen.


The replacement is going back to a capsule (Orion) that is going to be strapped on top of a rocket (Ares I) and shot into space, just like the apollo. Not a single stage to space or space plane.

The Shuttle is due to retirement in 2010. NASA says that if everything goes well, this system will be ready by 2015. Which means that NASA has to buy seats on Russian rockets for 5 years to get to the space station.

I guess the Russians have figured out how to sell seats long before Virgin airlines.


Budget cuts delay new spacecraft
NASA FEARS U.S. MAY LOSE LEADERSHIP IN SPACE EXPLORATION
By Robert S. Boyd
McClatchy Washington Bureau

WASHINGTON - The federal budget squeeze has forced NASA to abandon hope of launching a successor to its three aging space shuttles by 2014, the target that President Bush set in his ``Vision for Space Exploration'' plan three years ago.

Instead, the United States will have to rely on Russia or commercial aerospace companies to ferry cargo and crews to the International Space Station for five years after the last shuttle is retired in 2010.

The shuttles' replacements -- the new Orion spaceship and Ares I rocket launcher -- won't be ready until 2015 at the earliest, NASA Administrator Michael Griffin told the House Science and Technology Committee on Thursday.

``America may have a prolonged gap between the end of the shuttle program and the beginning of Orion and Ares I operational capability,'' he said.

``I cannot sugarcoat the issue,'' Griffin told a House Appropriations subcommittee Tuesday. ``I am deeply concerned that the gap between the retirement of the space shuttle in 2010 and the new U.S. human spaceflight systems does not grow longer.''

The lengthening time that the United States won't have the means to put humans into space is an embarrassment for the world's leading space-faring nation, especially when other countries are stepping up their extraterrestrial ambitions.

``If the new spacecraft are delayed even further,'' Griffin said, ``the nation will cede leadership in human spaceflight at a time when Russia and China have such capabilities, and India is developing them.''

The setback comes as budget reductions force NASA to delay or cut back some of its popular science goals, including climate-change research and the hunt for habitable planets around other stars.

``I'm afraid NASA is heading for a train wreck if things don't change,'' Rep. Bart Gordon, D-Tenn., the chairman of the science committee, told Griffin on Thursday. The space agency's new budget, he said, ``bears little resemblance to the rosy projections offered by the administration three years ago.''

NASA has spent about $9 billion for space exploration since Bush announced his ``Vision'' in January 2004. The agency is running almost $1 billion short of the amount it originally projected to spend through 2014.

The space exploration budget for the coming year, fiscal 2008, is $3.9 billion, $229 million less than the White House had sought for 2007. That comes on top of a $751 million shortfall this fiscal year because Congress failed to agree on a spending plan for 2007.

NASA is committed to a pay-as-you-go process. ``If we receive less funding than requested, we will adjust our pace,'' Griffin said.

During the 2 1/2 years that the space shuttles were grounded after the Columbia disaster in 2003, NASA relied on Russia's small Soyuz vehicle to carry astronauts to and from the space station. Another Russian craft, Progress, handled cargo loads.

http://www.kansascity.com/mld/kansascity/business/technology/16915365.htm
 taurus516

Joined: 11/3/2004
Msg: 103
view profile
History
Future of manned space flight
Posted: 3/26/2007 8:58:13 AM
The replacement is going back to a capsule (Orion) that is going to be strapped on top of a rocket (Ares I) and shot into space, just like the apollo. Not a single stage to space or space plane.


I think I saw this in Discover magazine.The difference,if I'm not mistaken is that instead of an ablative heat shield that the Apollos used,these capsules will actually renter face down,the seats are reversible.They face upward during launch and aft during re entry.

My bad,that was a prototype design of another expendable vehicle.This is the Orion

http://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/constellation/orion/index.html.

 arri

Joined: 10/5/2005
Msg: 104
Future of manned space flight
Posted: 3/26/2007 9:02:28 AM
^^^ The final design is not approved yet and they are not even sure if it's going to have 4 seat, 6 seats or what else.

In any even. This thing, even at this time, is not expected to be ready before 2015. Shuttles are going to be grounded by 2010. Then, US has to buy seats from the Russians and Chinese. Incidentally, India is planning on lunching its first manned craft in 2014. So is Japan.
 JerryInTampa

Joined: 9/28/2004
Msg: 105
view profile
History
Future of manned space flight
Posted: 3/26/2007 4:28:07 PM

Originally the shuttle was sold to the American public as a 'reusuable' vehicle capable of 100+ lift-offs a year.
I highly doubt that. Even with 48-hour flights and 24-hour turn-arounds (which is entirely unrealistic from a simple prepping view), that would give zero downtime.


Jerry, you're a 'military man' so obviously you see the countless trillions we've spent since WW2 as money well spent. And you are entitled to your opinion just as I am, and I strongly disagree.
Of course you are. I am not discussing your opinion when I point out your false facts (like your assertion that GPS is civillian/private).


Which is why I corrected you by letting you know the actual cost of a Soyuz spacecraft as well as the fact that Scaled Composite's two air/spacecraft are entirely resuable while a new Soyuz must be purchased everytime. The two aren't even close Jerry...
If there's a place where they fail to compare, it's that the Soyuz is a far more capable craft which can go signifigantly higher, carry far more payload, and do more types of missions.


Nice try, but GPS isn't the only thing you mentioned. You claimed that the military was responsible for: finding lost hikers, dicovering oil reserves, saving lives due to accurate weather forecasts, etc. I was merely pointing out that many of those benefits come from either the private sector or non-militray progrmas such as NASA.
Let's explore that statement. Here's the list I put up and the first satilite to accomplish it:

- Saved lost hikers: GPS - millitary
- helped my find the shortest path to a girls house: GPS - millitary
- identified oil reserves underground: governmental, but not millitary
- located myan ruins (seems the limestone used in construction causes the jungle to be a different temperature on a satalite map): Can't find a reference to what satellite.
- cut American deaths in millitary operations: Several communication, location, and observation systems. Do I actually need to debate that the millitary uses millitary satilites for milltary operations?

So, if I assume that the unknown was a civillian, we have 3 of my 5 examples that are millirtary, and one that is gevernmental but not directly millitary.


Carbon nanotubes are the material of choice so far. I've included a link so you can read up on them.
I'm already familiar with them. The practical tensile strength is too low at present.


http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carbon_nanotube
"However, the space elevator will require further efforts in refining carbon nanotube technology, as the practical tensile strength of carbon nanotubes can still be greatly improved" - From your cite


As for manufacturing them, that will require nanotech to advance somewhat which is why I made the comment 'right around the corner' as opposed to 'I have some in my pocket!'.
It might be right around the corner. It might turn out to be entierly impossible.

I recall PanAm flying me up to a space-station and then on to a vacation spot on the moon was right around the corner 35 years ago.
 dumbarton_lad

Joined: 12/11/2006
Msg: 106
Future of manned space flight
Posted: 3/26/2007 5:36:04 PM
Given the rate that we are using up our natural resources and overcrowding the planet with an exponentially growing population, you would think that the exploitation, sorry, exploration of outer space would be relatively high on someone's agenda.

An interesting sidenote here that I remembered - in Robert Kunzig's book "Mapping the Deep", he describes a 1996 telephone survey conducted by the Pew Charitable Trust which found that 71% of Americans believe exploring the ocean is more important than exploring space.
 Brian.J.L

Joined: 3/5/2006
Msg: 107
Future of manned space flight
Posted: 3/30/2007 5:19:27 PM
For mankind to survive we have to get off this planet in the near future the current rate at wich are populating the earth can't sustain our race indeffinitely or even in the next 1000 years I also think china is where alot of the advancements we need that will get us out there populating space might come from them they are a country with a purpose rigth now it seems and are devoloping well whereas the americans have kinda thrown there once very proud nasa on the back burner but here is some lovely video documenting the shuttle program that was wildly successful for them it's a sereies of 14 videos set to some very nice orchestral music


http://www.tvo.org/shuttleyears/shuttleMain_content.html
 JerryInTampa

Joined: 9/28/2004
Msg: 108
view profile
History
Future of manned space flight
Posted: 3/30/2007 5:32:28 PM
Getting into space wouldn't solve the problem. Current rate of expanion is about a doubling every 30 years. So the 22nd century would come in with more than 28-billion people.

How would you like to move that many even if you did have a place to put them?
 Brian.J.L

Joined: 3/5/2006
Msg: 109
Future of manned space flight
Posted: 3/30/2007 9:03:35 PM
I'm not saying it will solve the problem of over populating the earth or save the entire race from a dying planet it would be a hell of a task getting everyone off earth I highly doubt that could be pulled off myself even if the whole planet was together on it I'm saying it's my belief that it will ensure the survival of mankind if we start populating other planets in space and gaining areas that can be indeffinitely sustained without the assistance of earth and thats only gunna happen through the advancement of space travel it's the only hope we have that we can figure it out in time and get some people out there before we finish destroying our home
 3.1416

Joined: 11/22/2005
Msg: 110
view profile
History
Future of manned space flight
Posted: 10/22/2008 6:03:27 AM
Not sure what to say here. Just trying it out...
 scorpiomover

Joined: 4/19/2007
Msg: 111
view profile
History
Future of manned space flight
Posted: 10/22/2008 3:00:00 PM
I've been working out some Maths on escaping the Earth. It's let me to the conclusion that what we really need, is PRACTICAL, FEASIBLE solutions to real problems with space. What we seem to have at the moment, is only ways to escape and re-enter the Earth's atmosphere in a matter of minutes, at very high gs, and at incredibly high speeds, and that turns the shuttle, and any spacecraft, into the equivalent of a turbo-charged Porsche with no suspension, on a B-road. It makes travel very, very expensive and very, very uncomfortable, and not very practical for large payloads.

I've realised that for most practical purposes, we really want ways of escaping the Earth's atmosphere and re-entry, that take a few hours, with low gs, and a low cost. We also want ways to develop adequate shielding for space stations, and space domes. We also want ways to develop simulated g-forces to avoid the problems with muscle degradation due to free flight. We also could do with develop fully-functional oxygen generators, say by using trees.

I'm sure that everyone else knows this. But we need these problems solved, in practical, feasible, cheap ways. We don't need them to work perfectly. We can afford for them to work slowly. We can afford for them to work a LITTLE bit uncomfortably.

It just seems to me that right now, the solutions we have are too extreme to be practical for long term usage.

I know this probably means we need a whole new way of looking at things, that gives us a whole new batch of solutions. But relativity and quantum theory gave us that with lots of Earth-bound problems. Now, we just need people to make the same sort of intuitive leaps forward, in these areas.

Then we can just establish colonies in space domes on other planets.
 taurus516

Joined: 11/3/2004
Msg: 112
view profile
History
Future of manned space flight
Posted: 10/24/2008 2:47:33 PM
What needs to happen is a quantum breakthrough in technology to overcome the enormous distances. The hyper light travel of science fiction would redefine space travel.

The issues of zero G environment would not be such a problem if a trip to Mars took hours instead of months.
 Light Storm

Joined: 5/23/2006
Msg: 113
view profile
History
Future of manned space flight
Posted: 10/24/2008 7:33:59 PM
Out of curiosity. If every nation of the planet compiled resources to build a space ship of any size, based on the technology we have today what would be the maximum limit we could build? I know we couldn't leave the soler system, but could we build a science ship that could support life long enough for humans to view planets themselves up close... take pictures out windows and study data they might want to take a closer look at?

James
 taurus516

Joined: 11/3/2004
Msg: 114
view profile
History
Future of manned space flight
Posted: 10/27/2008 2:00:04 AM

I know we couldn't leave the soler system


I wouldn't be too sure of that. In the final analysis, it all comes down to $$$$$$$.
 quietcowboy

Joined: 12/25/2007
Msg: 115
view profile
History
Future of manned space flight
Posted: 10/27/2008 9:40:19 AM
What manned flight really needs is a better reason for manned space flight. As it stands now unmanned exploration is much cheaper, with far less risk and only marginally better in terms of discovery. Nearly all space exploration has been paid for out of tax dollars and thus doesn't benefit from competition. If there was a way that manned space travel could make a profit from mining, manufacturing etc much more resources would be dedicated to it, cost would decrease and risk would lower.
 RocketMan_Len

Joined: 7/5/2006
Msg: 116
view profile
History
Future of manned space flight
Posted: 10/27/2008 10:36:09 AM
And that's a `chicken-and-egg` problem. In order to find out what we should be doing in space-manufacturing, we need reliable and inexpensive access. But in order to *develop* reliable and inexpensive access, we need to know what we should be doing.

`Round and `round we go...
 taurus516

Joined: 11/3/2004
Msg: 117
view profile
History
Future of manned space flight
Posted: 10/27/2008 2:26:19 PM

If there was a way that manned space travel could make a profit from mining, manufacturing etc much more resources would be dedicated to it, cost would decrease and risk would lower.


Eventually this could be done. With places like Titan being so rich in gases, it's possible new sources of fuel and energy could be tapped from the atmosphere and used. Manned space flight may be expensive, but in the long run, our energy problems could possibly be solved from it.

And of course man will eventually need to find a new home.
Page 5 of 5 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
 
Show ALL Forums  > Science/philosophy  > Future of manned space flight