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 Author Thread: This is how Bush's Iraq mess is shaping up
 dunrich

Joined: 5/13/2006
Msg: 101
This is how Bush's Iraq mess is shaping up
Posted: 8/7/2006 8:01:32 AM
Originally I supported the removal of Saddam. Not because of WMD`s, but because of the million of his own people he had murdered. Could care less, if it was done fast with a WMD or slowly the way he did it.
How ever, I cant believe that further planning was not done prior to the invasion, on how to handle it afterwards. The Iraqi army should never have been totally disbanded like it was. After ww2, German troops were used by the Allies to keep the peace in occupied Germany. I really think this should have been done, from the start.
The time it took to bring Iraqui soldiers back in, allowed a lot of the insurgents time to organize. Are things better now than they were before? For the Iraqui people? Un fortunately no, and I think poor planning on what to do after the invasion is the reason why.
Hopefully, the democraticly elected leaders of Iraq, can get the infrastructure , army and police back in a good enough force, to improve their lot. Then it will have been worth it.
 hedoiidude

Joined: 7/15/2006
Msg: 102
This is how Bush's Iraq mess is shaping up
Posted: 8/27/2006 3:23:08 AM
What goals have been accomplished? We should not even have goals there in the first place. We should have invaded Afghanistan with overwhelming forces and overran Pakistan in the pursuit of Bin Laden if need be. Iraq, while a disgusting place, was no threat to us and I think Bush knew it, he was out to rectify "daddy's" mistake, now several thousand of our finest are dead and bin Laden is no where to be found. Goals? What goals? The goals W. needed to justify his huge mistake in the first place?

Get real, I don't understand how people can stand behind a fool just because he's conservative or republican, doesn't make sense.

Think about this: Everytime you hear a story out of Iraq replace the words "insurgent" with "Viet cong" and "Baghdad" with "Saigon" and "Mosul" with "Khe Sahn" or "Fallujah" with "DMZ". Pretty damn scary ain't it?
 RICTORN

Joined: 8/10/2006
Msg: 103
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This is how Bush's Iraq mess is shaping up
Posted: 8/27/2006 10:29:14 PM
i agree with most of what the last guy said but, you can't go sayin you should have invaded your allies (the ragime in pakistan may be militristic nutters are on your side) terrorism is not going to end with the marterdom of bin larden but only when america learns to use its soft power for the good of the arab world and not be so antaganistic towards it - love rich
 mustbeup2nogood

Joined: 5/23/2006
Msg: 104
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This is how Bush's Iraq mess is shaping up
Posted: 8/29/2006 4:38:00 PM
The discontent is BARELY containable ... our military commanders are almost in complete agreement that the situation in Iraq is spinning OUT OF CONTROL ....

Civil War appears immenient ...

We only control the immediate areas where US Troops are stationed .. outside those .. Anarchy rules .. the insurgents are INTENSIFYING their attacks ... with Deadly consecquences ..

US losses used to be counted as 1 or 2 per week .. Now .. its up to around 8 or more ...

The average Iraqi dosen't view us as a Friendly force .. in Fact .. almost 50% want the US OUT OF IRAQ .. at ANY COST ....

It doesn't help that US forces are stretched to the Breaking point .. with soldiers forced to stay on extended tours for an additional 18 months ... almost all of our forces are coming from our National Guard Reserves .. leaving our Local communities vulnerable to Emergencies ... ie .. Hurricane Katrina .. last year ...

Troop moral .. is at all time lows ...

Nationally there are now Highly published accounts of Soldiers .. even Service Commanders refusing to be deployed into Iraq ...

President Bush fails to aknowledge the severeness of the situation .. and has declared that we will NEVER LEAVE Iraq under his watch ...

It seems clear to me ..

that the seed changes have already been sown .. and the Reasons for our involvement in Iraq and or LACK OF SUCCESS over there will be fodder for a HUGE turn around in the political power struggle in Washington D.C. ....

We shall see ...
 GreatScott71

Joined: 8/21/2006
Msg: 105
This is how Bush's Iraq mess is shaping up
Posted: 8/29/2006 9:15:13 PM

almost 50% want the US OUT OF IRAQ


That's a very conservative estimate but your message is correct.(fact)


even Service Commanders (are) refusing to be deployed into Iraq.


That's not counting all the disgruntled ones over there already. Most of the troops have no clue what the directive is over there. (fact)


Troop moral .. is at all time lows ..


Directly because of the reason I stated above and for the complete disdain for senile Rummy.

THE MISSION IS UNDEFINED

Anyone want to tell me what the mission is over there besides the speculated one???????...
I apologize for my ignorance in advance.
 Always Smiling35

Joined: 7/1/2005
Msg: 106
This is how Bush's Iraq mess is shaping up
Posted: 8/30/2006 6:00:20 PM
I don't care about the position. I care about the person's intelligence and common sense. As you get older, you'll realize social stature is no measure of either.


Very well said.


Hopefully, the democraticly elected leaders of Iraq, can get the infrastructure , army and police back in a good enough force, to improve their lot. Then it will have been worth it.


That would be a preferable outcome.
However, I don't think it is going to happen.
The country is headed to an all out civil war. (if it hasn't already started)
 lordpalmer

Joined: 1/7/2006
Msg: 107
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This is how Bush's Iraq mess is shaping up
Posted: 8/30/2006 9:27:56 PM
Well Bush is currently 0 for 4 with regards to military matters (Afghanistan, Iraq, Somalia, and now Israel/Hezbollah).

Funny how Clinton was impeached for extremely far less.
 SillyBugger

Joined: 10/26/2006
Msg: 108
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This is how Bush's Iraq mess is shaping up
Posted: 10/30/2006 7:19:36 AM
It amazes me how naïve people can be. Do you really think we went to Iraq for weapons of mass destruction? They knew before they went that no weapons would be found.

Do you think we went to get Saddam? Why would we? We put him in power….. Remember those days after the Shaw of Iran was booted (another twerp we put in power that nailed his people good) and Shiite Islam was on the rise???? Sure you do…. So what did we (USA) do, we gave Saddam chemical weapons to kill them…. Yes, we did….. Then years later we are saying they have chemical weapons…. No, kidding….. We should know exactly what we gave them and how deadly they are…

No, we didn’t go to get Saddam….

So, That was the first story…. “lets go get them evil weapons of mass destruction….” Ooooops sorry folks they don’t have any….. Then it became…. “Got to find that evil Saddam and make him pay…. Well we found him hiding in his hole…. But we are still in Iraq…. Why? On I remember, we are going to change the Arabs that have been killing each other and all around them for the last 2000 years and we are going to do this so they can become democratic about killing each other for the next 2000 years…..

No, that’s not the reason either….. So why did we go to Iraq anyway…It is so easy to see if you open your blind eyes and follow the money….. That’s right…. Money….….. Think about it. You are spending 2 Billion a week on troops, about 150,000 troops that works out to 13,333 per week per man….. Mmmmmmm and who is making all this money? DO you think the soldier gets paid that much? Do you think they are burning up that much diesel fuel and ammo? No…. So, what’s happening with all that extra cash????

Ever hear of KBR? How about Halliburton? Sure, now you know the name…. Remember the Vice President…. That Cheney dude….. Well, it takes a lot of people with deep pockets to get to be President these days….. And once you get in, you got to keep the masses interested….. Got to get them to vote you in a second time so you can keep playing the shell game with all those huge amounts of money….

So, lets go to war….. Lets blame some twerp we know can’t do much but enough that we can keep rolling out guns, ammo, ships food, supplies and rake a very nice percentage off the top…. Billions in fact…..

Lets get the voters worked up into a frenzy….. “Stay the course ( we ain’t rich enough yet)”

You know, it pisses me off, but it should piss you off even more…. Why, well you see, I can vote in this country….. I am not an American…. Sure, I love it here, but when the day is over and it is time to retire I’ll head home to Australia and leave you all to fight the silly world battles instead of keeping your nose at home like you should be doing….. And if you think you are so righteous, just go for a drive down to GitMo…. What happened to the “Rule of Law”…..No place to be found. Lock them up, keep them for as long as you want in a foreign place so the courts can’t get at them, change the Geneva Convention and say… Hey, we are just protecting ourselves from these terrorists that might want to use those bombs on us that we gave them…..

All you really got to do is shut the TV off and go and read the news from other places to see some of the crap that is going on in the world, not the one sides dribble you get here…..

So, are you pissed yet…. Well grab a beer and relax….. George and the boys are turning out more and more enemies everyday, so the economy should just keep rolling along right up until you retire and nothing is left for you….. But George and the boys will be fine, so who cares about you?
 anticon

Joined: 2/18/2006
Msg: 109
This is how Bush's Iraq mess is shaping up
Posted: 10/30/2006 7:56:31 AM
Washington (I'm talking not just about neocons, but dems as well) are INDEED planning to "stay the course". They see the middle east as a battle ground for world hegemony. It's there. We're there. We have no intentions of leaving at present.

Twenty? Thirty years?

Until energy becomes cheap somehow?

This is the plan.

They all (whether they admit to it or not) agreed to it and they knew why. They also knew that whoever the president was would have to be resolved to staying and their party would have to absorb the political consequences.

There's alot of mass distractions involved here:

1) the war is not a partisan issue. As I said above, they allllllllll knew what this was about.
2) the major conflict is not about neocon vs. Dem or even US vs. Iraq as much as it is about whether we want to keep fighting wars where we attack weaker countries in order to keep them weak so they can't threaten our interests abroad, like oil, transportation, commerce of all kinds.
3) are we (the majority of citizens) willing to accept government which purposely deceives us and misrepresent issues so they can do what they want, against our will?
4) the major battle ground for this war may wind up being the draftboards and the streets, just like viet nam.
 ciggs

Joined: 10/21/2006
Msg: 110
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This is how Bush's Iraq mess is shaping up
Posted: 10/30/2006 9:47:24 AM
you had a good point about money, not nessary about issues its who is making money off the war. all time favorite world BANK, the world bank picks the president of USA. picks the wars as well, the bank funds both sides of the war, old money never dies. They picked Bush for the reason of war. Bush will be elected again. If there was no money in it, it would be Iraq who, who cares. These people are all victums of brainwashing over in those countries.
Years of brainwashing from birth, you basically have to kill all of them to rid the terrorist, than you become the terrorist. two wrongs do not make it right, forgive yourselfs forgive your enmies and worry about your own people.
 packleader

Joined: 8/18/2006
Msg: 111
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This is how Bush's Iraq mess is shaping up
Posted: 10/30/2006 10:30:34 AM
"Bush will be elected again".This was posted by "ciggs".~~~I guess I have a complete misunderstanding of the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution,ratified on 2-27-1951,so again how can Bush be elected again to the Presidency?I must be dense,because Im not getting this thru my noggin.........Please restate the position you have propounded.
 Wolves-Lower

Joined: 9/9/2006
Msg: 112
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This is how Bush's Iraq mess is shaping up
Posted: 10/30/2006 10:56:36 AM
I so agree with anticon on this one.
Everyone knew...INCLUDING THE MEDIA!
They wore those silly flag emblems and anybody that spoke out against it was a Non-Patriotic.
The USA wanted to shape the future of the Middle East for its gains and its gains alone.
It had nothing to do with WMD or Saddam.
Meanwhile the Euro's are busy scrammbling because of the debt it is owed by Iraq and the great contracts they have.
Human suffering or the good of the world never turns the globe...MONEY DOES!
 Nightwing66

Joined: 8/1/2006
Msg: 113
This is how Bush's Iraq mess is shaping up
Posted: 10/30/2006 12:30:58 PM
OP ~ if you were in favor of the war for humanitarian reasons then we should invade Sudi Arabia right now!

We've propped up more tinpot dictators that murdered their own people than we ever took out. Pinochet, Duvalier, Saudi's, etc.

It's all about the money, bro.
 SillyBugger

Joined: 10/26/2006
Msg: 114
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This is how Bush's Iraq mess is shaping up
Posted: 11/3/2006 12:58:08 PM
How can we agree on all of this and yet still keep voting in Pin Heads? I was bummed when Bush made it in the first time, then on the second run I was just stupified....

Come on people, lets go for some broke dude that has NO TIES to corporate money and let him clean some of this crap up....
 Interdimensional

Joined: 8/30/2006
Msg: 115
This is how Bush's Iraq mess is shaping up
Posted: 11/3/2006 2:09:59 PM
Dunrich:
I applaud you for being concerned about millions of people getting killed. You might want to take that thought one more step and give careful consideration to the fact...and yes I say fact...that The US has killed far more people than Saddam could even dream of...so please explain to me the logic ofthinking...hey we needed to remove this guy because he killed a million people...when your government has killed tens of millions since the end of WW2. In just a few shoirt years you have surpassed Saddam. I am not making light of what kind of leader Saddam was...but it is completely a case of the pot calling the kettle black...and the kettle is tiny by comparison
 Montreal_Guy

Joined: 3/8/2004
Msg: 116
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This is how Bush's Iraq mess is shaping up
Posted: 11/3/2006 2:22:28 PM
And behind the scenes, almost hidden from view, one possible clue to the future of Iraq.


The Times November 03, 2006

America fights to take charge of UN peacekeepers around world

By James Bone and Richard Beeston

The United States is lobbying to put an American, possibly a general, in charge of all UN peacekeeping operations in a move that could offer Washington an exit strategy in Iraq.

The unprecedented US bid for the top UN peacekeeping post would place an American in command of the 95,000 UN peacekeepers in trouble spots from Lebanon to Sudan.

An American-led UN peacekeeping department could eventually help Washington to replace the US-led coalition in Iraq with a UN-flagged force, diplomats and experts say.

A US official confirmed yesterday that the Bush Administration was seeking the UN’s top peacekeeping post. The US only has 335 peacekeepers and 330 civilians serving with UN missions around the world, with the largest deployment being 239 police officers in Kosovo and 48 police officers in Haiti.

But Washington pays 26 per cent of the surging UN peacekeeping budget, which could rise from its current $5 billion a year (£2.6 billion) to $6 billion a year.

“We pay the most,” the US official said. “It almost goes without saying that if the Americans are spending the most money on peacekeeping we should have a say in the management of it. It’s about time.”

The peacekeeping job is so important to Washington that it is ready to relinquish its traditional control of the UN management department. Christopher Burnham, the American in that post, announced last week that he was leaving for the private sector.

The US official denied that there was any long-term plan to transfer responsibility for security in Iraq to the UN. “This has nothing to do with Iraq,” he said. “It has much more to do with Côte d’Ivoire, Ethiopia-Eritrea. These are the ones we are spending so much money on.”

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,3-2435289,00.html



Why is the timing so suspect ? One, Baker's study group is looking at exit strategies.

Two, you get Iraqi politicians saying things like this :


Published: 11/03/2006 12:00 AM (UAE)

Talabani wants US troops to stay for 'three more years'

Reuters

Paris: Iraqi President Jalal Talabani said on Thursday that S troops should remain in Iraq for up to three more years to help bring peace to the country, envisaging a slower withdrawal programme than that suggested by Washington.

"We need time. Not 20 years, but time. I personally can say that two to three years will be enough to build up our forces and say to our American friends 'Bye bye with thanks'," Talabani told a conference organised by the IFRI think-tank.

Talabani gave an upbeat assessment of the situation in Iraq, saying life was relatively normal beyond Baghdad.

"There is no civil war. The media is focusing only on the negative side of Iraq. ... We need to give the real picture. It's not just car bombs.

"Visit Iraq from the north to the south. Never mind Baghdad," he told reporters.


http://archive.gulfnews.com/articles/06/11/03/10079609.html


There is no way that the American public will stand for another three years of this, even if civil war doesn't break out more than it is now. There is no way that the military can cope with the impact , both financial and morale wise, of this war.

Should American troops still be in Iraq in three years in any great numbers, there will be hell to pay at the voting booth. It may mean that the Republican party is shut out of politics for years.

There is far too much to lose for the aristocracy if that happens, so it won't.
 late™

Joined: 1/9/2005
Msg: 117
This is how Bush's Iraq mess is shaping up
Posted: 11/14/2006 6:08:32 AM

This is how Bush's Iraq mess is shaping up


http://tinyurl.com/ygqlvh
 Hoop

Joined: 5/1/2006
Msg: 118
This is how Bush's Iraq mess is shaping up
Posted: 11/14/2006 7:57:45 PM

This is how Bush's Iraq mess is shaping up
http://tinyurl.com/ygqlvh


If true ..
What do we know is real and what is not?
Now let's entertain that it's for real.. 2 things caught my attention in that article.
One goes back quite awhile when I read that the "brains" of Iraq were being targeted.


Recent weeks have seen a university dean and prominent Sunni geologist murdered, bringing the death toll among educators to at least 155 since the war began.


and this


The Iraqi Islamic Party, the largest Sunni Muslim group in the country, called the kidnapping “not only a crime but a major political farce.”

“How can 50 new vehicles move around in ... the area most heavily controlled by security agencies in the middle of the day?” the party said in a statement.
 Montreal_Guy

Joined: 3/8/2004
Msg: 119
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This is how Bush's Iraq mess is shaping up
Posted: 11/28/2006 12:35:56 PM
In today's news....


RIGA, Latvia (CNN) -- President Bush on Tuesday rejected suggestions that Iraq is in a civil war and vowed again he won't support the removal of U.S. troops from the war-torn country "before the mission is complete."

"There's a lot of sectarian violence taking place, fomented in my opinion because of the attacks by al Qaeda, causing people to seek reprisal," he said, calling the violence part of a plot.

White House national security adviser Stephen Hadley said Bush and the Iraqi leader will be talking about "what steps Iraq needs to take and how we can support them."

Hadley also dismissed the notion that civil war has begun in Iraq.

"The Iraqis don't talk of it as a civil war. The unity government doesn't talk of it as a civil war," Hadley said. "You have not yet had a situation also where you have two clearly defined and opposing groups vying not only for power but for territory."

http://www.cnn.com/2006/WORLD/meast/11/28/iraq.main/index.html


Iraqi's don't talk about civil war......hmmmm......

100,000 leave every month, for safer places.

3,000 die, and many more are injured.

Let's see what Americans say :


The latest upsurge in Iraqi bloodshed, the conventional wisdom goes, has pushed the country to "the brink" of civil war. Testifying before Congress on Thursday, Gen. John Abizaid, head of the U.S. Central Command, said as much when he stated that "sectarian violence is a greater concern for us security-wise right now than the insurgency."

But to many analysts, Iraq is already immersed in a civil war. Some point to the hypothetical definition of a civil war recently offered by National Director of Intelligence John Negroponte as "a complete loss of central government security control, the disintegration or deterioration of the security forces of the country."

"In academic terms, this is a civil war, and it's not even a small one," said Larry Diamond, a former consultant to the provisional authority in Baghdad who is now critical of the Bush administration's policies in Iraq.

"I don't know how else you would describe something which has people from one community systematically attacking the other," said Peter Galbraith, a former U.S. ambassador to Croatia during the civil war in the Balkans during the Clinton administration and who helped negotiate an end to the conflict in Croatia. "Sunni Arab insurgents have been attacking Shiite clergy, politicians and ordinary Shiites for simply being who they are ... and then you have a response, from the Shiites."

The implications of what to call the violence reach beyond semantics, say analysts who believe civil war is already a reality. Until the United States faces up to the true situation on the ground, it cannot take the necessary steps that might help mitigate the deteriorating situation.

"The flaw that we've had in Iraq from day one is that we've been ostrichlike with our dealings in our reality on the ground in the country," said Galbraith, who now is a senior diplomatic fellow at the Center for Arms Control and Non-Proliferation in Washington. "At each stage of the process, the administration has been in denial about what's going on."

http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?file=
/c/a/2006/03/12/MNG9BHMUG81.DTL



BAGHDAD, Iraq - While American politicians and generals in Washington debate the possibility of civil war in Iraq, many U.S. officers and enlisted men who patrol Baghdad say it has already begun.

Army troops in and around the capital interviewed in the last week cite a long list of evidence that the center of the nation is coming undone: Villages have been abandoned by Sunni and Shiite Muslims; Sunni insurgents have killed thousands of Shiites in car bombings and assassinations; Shiite militia death squads have tortured and killed hundreds, if not thousands, of Sunnis; and when night falls, neighborhoods become open battlegrounds.

"There's one street that's the dividing line. They shoot mortars across the line and abduct people back and forth," said 1st Lt. Brian Johnson, a 4th Infantry Division platoon leader from Houston. Johnson, 24, was describing the nightly violence that pits Sunni gunmen from Baghdad's Ghazaliyah neighborhood against Shiite gunmen from the nearby Shula district.

As he spoke, the sights and sounds of battle grew: first, the rat-a-tat-tat of fire from AK-47 assault rifles, then the heavier bursts of PKC machine guns, and finally the booms of mortar rounds crisscrossing the night sky and crashing down onto houses and roads.

The bodies of captured Sunni and Shiite fighters will turn up in the morning, dropped in canals and left on the side of the road.

"We've seen some that have been executed on site, with bullet holes in the ground; the rest were tortured and executed somewhere else and dumped," Johnson said.

The recent assertion by U.S. soldiers here that Iraq is in a civil war is a stunning indication that American efforts to bring peace and democracy to Iraq are failing, more than three years after the toppling of dictator Saddam Hussein's regime.

Some Iraqi troops, too, share that assessment.

"This is a civil war," said a senior adviser to the commander of the Iraqi Army's 6th Division, which oversees much of Baghdad.

"The problem between Sunnis and Shiites is a religious one, and it gets worse every time they attack each other's mosques," said the adviser, who gave only his rank and first name, Col. Ahmed, because of security concerns. "Iraq is now caught in hell."

U.S. hopes for victory in Iraq hinge principally on two factors: Iraqi security forces becoming more competent and Iraqi political leaders persuading armed groups to lay down their weapons.

But neither seems to be happening. The violence has increased as Iraqi troops have been added, and feuding among the political leadership is intense. American soldiers, particularly the rank and file who go out on daily patrols, say they see no end to the bloodshed. Higher ranking officers concede that the developments are threatening to move beyond their grasp.

"There's no plan - we are constantly reacting," said a senior American military official, who spoke on the condition of anonymity. "I have absolutely no idea what we're going to do."

http://www.realcities.com/mld/krwashington/news/special_packages/iraq/15201701.htm




BAGHDAD, March 5, 2006 — As Pentagon generals offered optimistic assessments that the sectarian violence in Iraq had dissipated this weekend, other military experts told ABC News that Sunni and Shiite groups in Iraq already are engaged in a civil war, and that the Iraqi government and U.S. military had better accept that fact and adapt accordingly.

"We're in a civil war now; it's just that not everybody's joined in," said retired Army Maj. Gen. William L. Nash, a former military commander in Bosnia-Herzegovina. "The failure to understand that the civil war is already taking place, just not necessarily at the maximum level, means that our counter measures are inadequate and therefore dangerous to our long-term interest.

"It's our failure to understand reality that has caused us to be late throughout this experience of the last three years in Iraq," added Nash, who is an ABC News consultant.

Anthony Cordesman, the Arleigh A. Burke chair in strategy at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, told ABC News, "If you talk to U.S. intelligence officers and military people privately, they'd say we've been involved in low level civil war with very slowly increasing intensity since the transfer of power in June 2004."

http://abcnews.go.com/WNT/IraqCoverage/story?id=1689688&page=1



Definition of civil war ?


A civil war is a war in which parties within the same culture, society or nationality fight for political power or control of an area. Political scientists use two criteria: the warring groups must be from the same country and fighting for control of the political center, control over a separatist state or to force a major change in policy. The second criterion is that at least 1,000 people must have been killed in total, with at least 100 from each side.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Civil_war

civil war
n : a war between factions in the same country

http://dict.die.net/civil%20war/

civil war
Function: noun
: a war between opposing groups of citizens of the same country

http://www.m-w.com/dictionary/civil%20war



Oh yeah, some Iraqi comments ?



One of Iraq's most pro-western figures and an ex-prime minister yesterday became the first of its leaders to express what most of his compatriots fear: the country is in the grip of a "terrible" civil war

But Mr Allawi, chosen by coalition forces to lead Iraq when its sovereignty was restored in 2004 and the leader who supported their assaults on Najaf and Fallujah, was adamant.

"We are losing each day an average of 50 to 60 people throughout the country, if not more," he said. "If this is not civil war, then God knows what civil war is. Iraq is in the middle of a crisis. Maybe we have not reached the point of no return yet, but we are moving towards this point. We are in a terrible civil conflict now."

Unless a new government was formed soon, ending political paralysis and re-establishing central authority, Iraq "will not only fall apart but sectarianism will spread throughout the region," he said. "And even Europe and the United States would not be spared all the violence that may occur as a result of sectarian problems in this region."

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2006/03/20/wirq20.xml


How about the Marines view on it ?


THE US military is no longer able to defeat a bloody insurgency in western Iraq or counter al-Qaeda's rising popularity, according to newly disclosed details from a classified Marine Corps intelligence report.

"The fundamental questions of lack of control, growth of the insurgency and criminality" remain the same in the troubled Anbar province, a senior US intelligence official said.

The report describes Iraq's Sunni minority as "embroiled in a daily fight for survival", fearful of "pogroms" by the Shiite majority and increasingly dependent on al-Qaeda in Iraq as its only hope against growing Iranian dominance across Baghdad.

"From the Sunni perspective, their greatest fears have been realised — Iran controls Baghdad and Anbaris have been marginalised," the report says. Moreover, most Sunnis now believe it would be unwise to count on or help US forces because they are seen as likely to leave Iraq before imposing stability.

Between al-Qaeda's violence, Iran's influence and an expected gradual US withdrawal, "the social and political situation has deteriorated to a point" that US and Iraqi troops "are no longer capable of militarily defeating the insurgency in al-Anbar". At least 90 US troops have died in Anbar since September 1.

The report paints a stark portrait of a failed province and of the country's Sunnis — once dominant under Saddam Hussein — now desperate, fearful and impoverished. They have been increasingly abandoned by religious and political leaders who have been assassinated or who have fled the country.

And unlike Iraq's Shiite majority or Kurdish groups in the north, the Sunnis are without oil and other natural resources. The report notes that illicit oil trading is providing millions of dollars to al-Qaeda while "official profits appear to feed Shiite cronyism in Baghdad".

The Iraqi Government, dominated by Iranian-backed Shiites, has not paid salaries for Anbar officials and Iraqi forces stationed there. Anbar's resources and its ability to impose order are depicted as limited, at best.

"Despite the success of the December elections, nearly all Government institutions from the village to provincial levels have disintegrated or have been thoroughly corrupted and infiltrated by al-Qaeda in Iraq," or a smattering of other insurgent groups, the report says.

http://www.theage.com.au/news/world/us-unable-to-win-in-west-iraq-marines-say
/2006/11/28/1164476204830.html


I think the old "duck test" is in order here.

It looks like a duck, quacks like a duck, and walks like a duck....but it's still nothing like a duck to this President.
 Bookworm70

Joined: 11/14/2004
Msg: 120
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This is how Bush's Iraq mess is shaping up
Posted: 11/28/2006 2:07:06 PM
Just about any scholar worthy of the title says that it's a civil war in Iraq, and it's been one for some time now. The people who are denying it are either extremely ignorant and obstinate, or else they're toeing the party line.

And despite the White House saying that the Iraqi's don't consider it a civil war, many of them do consider it one.
 cougar99

Joined: 6/1/2005
Msg: 121
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This is how Bush's Iraq mess is shaping up
Posted: 11/28/2006 6:06:54 PM
Hard to believe he still has 30 percent of the people behind him, while his daughters travel around the world, he has no problem sending our sons, daughters, brothers etc, off to die for his stupid and still undefined agenda.
 bob0colo

Joined: 4/9/2006
Msg: 122
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This is how Bush's Iraq mess is shaping up
Posted: 11/28/2006 8:45:51 PM
NO show has his kids running naked in hotels and party-un at the new 100k acre ranch in S/A, while Geo the first's crew attempts to bale the country out of his MAJOR mess.

Prince Saud calls and Shooter goes to cover everyones a$$ with the money man. I have to think that this is out of control, and over.

-------------------------
MSNBC.com
U.S. official: Hezbollah aids Iraq Shiites
Report: Militant group in Lebanon training Mahdi Army, other militias
Updated: 10:45 a.m. PT Nov 28, 2006

WASHINGTON - The Iranian-backed group Hezbollah has been training members of the Mahdi Army, the Iraqi Shiite militia led by Moktada al-Sadr, The New York Times reported on Monday, quoting a senior U.S. intelligence official.

Between 1,000 and 2,000 fighters from the Mahdi Army and other Shiite militias had been trained by Hezbollah in Lebanon, the unidentified official told the newspaper.

A small number of Hezbollah operatives had also visited Iraq to help with training, the official said.

Iran has facilitated the link between Hezbollah and the Shiite militias in Iraq while Syrian officials have also cooperated, but there is debate whether it has the blessing of the senior leaders in Syria, the official told the Times, speaking on condition of anonymity.

The newspaper report came amid intense debate over whether the United States should enlist the help of Iran and Syria in stabilizing Iraq. The Iraq Study Group, directed by James Baker, a former Republican secretary of state, and Lee Hamilton, a former Democratic lawmaker, is expected to call for direct talks with Tehran.

The account was consistent with a claim made in Iraq this summer by a mid-level Mahdi commander, who said his militia sent 300 fighters to Lebanon to fight alongside Hezbollah in its war with Israel, the Times said.

“They are the best-trained fighters in the Mahdi Army,” the newspaper quoted him as saying, speaking on condition of anonymity.

URL: http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/15935614/
© 2006 MSNBC.com




The New York Times
http://www.nytimes.com/2006/11/26/world/middleeast/26insurgency.html?ei=5065&en=517dd351bce05056
&ex=1165122000&partner=MYWAY&pagewanted

November 26, 2006
U.S. Finds Iraq Insurgency Has Funds to Sustain Itself
By JOHN F. BURNS and KIRK SEMPLE

BAGHDAD, Nov. 25 — The insurgency in Iraq is now self-sustaining financially, raising tens of millions of dollars a year from oil smuggling, kidnapping, counterfeiting, connivance by corrupt Islamic charities and other crimes that the Iraqi government and its American patrons have been largely unable to prevent, a classified United States government report has concluded.

The report, obtained by The New York Times, estimates that groups responsible for many insurgent and terrorist attacks are raising $70 million to $200 million a year from illegal activities. It says $25 million to $100 million of that comes from oil smuggling and other criminal activity involving the state-owned oil industry, aided by “corrupt and complicit” Iraqi officials.

As much as $36 million a year comes from ransoms paid for hundreds of kidnap victims, the report says. It estimates that unnamed foreign governments — previously identified by American officials as including France and Italy — paid $30 million in ransom last year.

A copy of the seven-page report was made available to The Times by American officials who said the findings could improve understanding of the challenges the United States faces in Iraq.

The report offers little hope that much can be done, at least soon, to choke off insurgent revenues. For one thing, it acknowledges how little the American authorities in Iraq know — three and a half years after the invasion that toppled Saddam Hussein — about crucial aspects of insurgent operations. For another, it paints an almost despairing picture of the Iraqi government’s ability, or willingness, to take steps to tamp down the insurgency’s financing.

“If accurate,” the report says, its estimates indicate that these “sources of terrorist and insurgent finance within Iraq — independent of foreign sources — are currently sufficient to sustain the groups’ existence and operation.” To this, it adds what may be its most surprising conclusion: “In fact, if recent revenue and expense estimates are correct, terrorist and insurgent groups in Iraq may have surplus funds with which to support other terrorist organizations outside of Iraq.”

Some terrorism experts outside the government who were given an outline of the report by The Times criticized it as imprecise and speculative. Completed in June, the report was compiled by an interagency working group investigating the financing of militant groups in Iraq.

A Bush administration official, who spoke on condition of anonymity, confirmed the group’s existence. He said it was led by Juan Zarate, deputy national security adviser for combating terrorism, and was made up of about a dozen people, drawn from the C.I.A., the F.B.I., the Defense Intelligence Agency, the State Department, the Treasury Department and the United States Central Command.

The group’s estimate of the financing for the insurgency, even taking the higher figure of $200 million, underscores the David and Goliath nature of the war. American, Iraqi and other coalition forces are fighting an array of shadowy Sunni and Shiite groups that can draw on huge armories left over from Mr. Hussein’s days, and benefit from the willingness of many insurgents to fight with little or no pay. If the $200 million a year estimate is close to the mark, it amounts to less than what it costs the Pentagon, with an $8 billion monthly budget for Iraq, to sustain the American war effort here for a single day.

But other estimates suggest the sums involved could be far higher. The oil ministry in Baghdad, for example, estimated earlier this year that 10 percent to 30 percent of the $4 billion to $5 billion in fuel imported for public consumption in 2005 was smuggled back out of the country for resale. At that time, the finance minister estimated that close to half of all smuggling profits was going to insurgents. If true, that would be $200 million or more from fuel smuggling alone.

For Washington, the report’s most dismaying finding may be that the insurgency now survives off money generated from activities inside Iraq, and no longer depends on sums Mr. Hussein and his associates seized as his government collapsed. American officials said that as American troops entered Baghdad, Mr. Hussein’s oldest son, Qusay, took more than $1 billion in cash from the Central Bank of Iraq and stashed it in steel trunks aboard a flatbed truck. Large sums of cash were found in Mr. Hussein’s briefcase when he was captured in December 2003.

But the report says Mr. Hussein’s loyalists “are no longer a major source of funding for terrorist or insurgent groups in Iraq.” Part of the reason, the report says, is that an American-led international effort has frozen $3.6 billion in “former regime assets.” Another reason, it says, is that Mr. Hussein’s erstwhile loyalists, realizing that “it is increasingly obvious that a Baathist regime will not regain power in Iraq,” have turned increasingly to spending the money on their own living expenses. The trail to these assets “has grown cold,” the report adds.

The document says the pattern of insurgent financing changed after the first 18 months of the war, from the Hussein loyalists who financed it in 2003 to “foreign fighters and couriers” smuggling cash in bulk across Iraq’s porous borders in 2004, to the present reliance on a complex array of indigenous sources. “Currently, we assess that these groups garner most of their funding from petroleum-related criminal activity, kidnapping and other criminal pursuits within Iraq,” the report concludes.

One section of the report is dedicated to the role played by “sympathetic donors,” including Islamic charities and nongovernmental organizations. It says that “intelligence reporting” indicates that only 10 to 15 of the 4,000 nongovernmental groups support terrorist and insurgent groups, but that those few take advantage of lax Iraqi regulation to divert funds to insurgent and other armed groups and, in some cases, “to provide cover for insurgent recruitment and the transport of weapons and personnel.”

The possibility that Iraq-based terrorist groups could finance attacks outside Iraq appeared to echo Bush administration assertions that prevailing in the war here is essential to preventing Iraq from becoming a terrorist haven, as Afghanistan became under the Taliban. But that suggestion was one of several aspects of the report that drew criticism from Western terrorism and counterinsurgency experts working outside the government who were given the outline of the findings.

While noting that the report appeared to reflect a major effort by the administration to learn more about the murky world of insurgent financing in Iraq, the experts said the seven-page document appeared to be speculative, at least in its estimates of the funds available to the insurgent and terror groups. They noted the wide spread of the estimates, particularly the $70 million to $200 million figure for overall financing, the report’s failure to specify which groups the estimates covered and the absence of documentation of how authors had arrived at their estimates.

While such data may have been omitted to protect the group’s clandestine sources and methods — the document has a bold heading on the front page saying “secret” and a warning that it is not to be shared with foreign governments — several security and intelligence consultants said in telephone interviews that the vagueness of the estimates reflected how little American intelligence agencies knew about the opaque and complex world of Iraq’s militant groups.

“They’re just guessing,” said W. Patrick Lang, a former chief of Middle East intelligence at the Defense Intelligence Agency, who now runs a security and intelligence consultancy. “They really have no idea.” He added, “They’ve been very unsuccessful in penetrating these organizations.” He said he was equally skeptical about the report’s assertion that the insurgent and militant groups may have surpluses to finance terrorism outside Iraq. “That’s another guess,” he said.

“A judgment like that, coming from an N.S.C.-generated document,” he said, is not an analytical assessment as much as it is a political statement to support the administration’s contention that Iraq is a central front in the war on terrorism. “It’s a statement put in there to support a policy judgment,” he said.

Several analysts said that, except for the possibility that Al Qaeda of Mesopotamia might be transferring money to Qaeda factions elsewhere, the assertion that insurgent money might be flowing out of the country was doubtful considering the single-minded regional focus of most of the militants operating here.

Dr. Magnus Ranstorp of the Swedish National Defense College, an author of extensive studies of the Iraqi insurgency, said he doubted Iraqi groups were ready to finance terrorism outside the country. “There’s very little evidence that they’re preparing to export terrorism from Iraq to the West,” he said. “I think it’s much too early for that.”

The document tracing the money flows acknowledges that investigators have had limited success in penetrating or choking off terrorist financing networks. The report says American efforts to follow the financing trails have been hamstrung by several factors. They include a weak Iraqi government and its nascent intelligence agencies; a lack of communication between American agencies, and between the Americans and the Iraqis; and the nature of the insurgent economy itself, primarily sustained by couriers carrying cash rather than more easily traceable means involving banks and the hawala money transfer networks traditional in the Middle East.

“Efforts to identify key financial facilitators, funding sources and transfer mechanisms are yielding some results, but we need to improve our understanding of how terrorist and insurgent cells interact, how their financial networks vary from province to province or city to city and how they use their funds,” the report says. It also says the United States must help the Iraqi government “to excise corrupt officials from its law enforcement and security services and its ministries” and “to prevent smuggled Iraqi oil from being sold within their borders.”

Another challenge for the United States, the report says, was to persuade foreign governments to “stop paying ransoms.” It gives no details, but American officials have said previously that France paid a multimillion-dollar ransom for the release in December 2004 of two French reporters held hostage by an insurgent group. Italy, these officials have said, paid ransoms on at least two occasions, in September 2004 for the release of two women, both aid workers, and in March 2005, a reported $5 million for the release of Giuliana Sgrena, a journalist for the Rome newspaper Il Manifesto.

Several American security consultants, all former members of government intelligence agencies that deal with terrorism, said in interviews that the ineffectiveness of efforts to impede the revenues to the insurgents was reflected in the continuing, if not growing, strength of Iraq’s militants. “You have to look at what the insurgency is doing,” Mr. Lang said. “Are they hampered by a lack of funds? I see no evidence that they are.”

Jeffrey White, a defense fellow with the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, also a former Middle East analyst with the Defense Intelligence Agency, agreed. “We’ve had some tactical successes where we’ve picked off a financier or whatever, but we haven’t been able to unravel a major component of the system,” he said. “I’ve never seen any indication that they’re strapped for cash, never seen any indication that they were short on weapons.”

He said the insurgency had demonstrated tremendous regenerative properties. “The networks fix themselves, they heal themselves,” he said. He pointed to the success of Al Qaeda in Mesopotamia in withstanding the loss of hundreds of combatants and dozens of major leaders. “They keep coming back,” he said, “and I think the same thing has happened to the financial system.”

Reporting was contributed by Mark Mazzetti from Washington and James Glanz from Baghdad.

--------------------------------------



The clown filling in for Rush today said Washington DC is more dangerous than Bagdad. Thats the crap the 30% listen to and believe.
 cougar99

Joined: 6/1/2005
Msg: 123
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History
This is how Bush's Iraq mess is shaping up
Posted: 11/29/2006 12:11:34 AM
Why did he even bother getting rid of rummy, he still has no clue or care about what the people want.
 bob0colo

Joined: 4/9/2006
Msg: 124
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History
This is how Bush's Iraq mess is shaping up
Posted: 12/4/2006 9:06:04 PM
We have created a very bad situation...........



BBC NEWS
Baghdad diary: The 'what to do' debate

By Andrew North
BBC News, Baghdad

NEW PLANS, NO CHANGE

It's a strange job being the BBC correspondent here at the moment. At times it can feel like I'm in the wrong place.

Because much of the news on Iraq is being made thousands of miles away in Washington, as the "what to do" debate heats up before the release of the much anticipated - and much-leaked - Iraq Study Group report.

So each day means spending nearly as much time on US websites, working out which policy idea is gaining ground, as on finding out what's happening on the ground.

More troops, or fewer? Speed up the handover to Iraqi units? Talk to the neighbours? The prescriptions change by the day.

Yet while I try to keep up with this US debate, I'm aware that outside of Iraq's political arena, few people here are paying any attention.

"What difference will it make?" said a shopkeeper. "The Americans have given us new plans before. But things only get worse."

The priority these days is surviving; avoiding kidnap or being caught in crossfire. Many Baghdad residents now barely leave their homes, too scared to go out.

Hanging on

When they venture out for food and other needs, they find prices have gone up again.

The official inflation rate is almost 80%. The cost of many staples shot up again with the recent four-day curfew - imposed after the devastating 23 November bombings in Sadr City - because supplies were disrupted.

It's the first thing you talk about with friends. They ask you if you are leaving
Doctor living in Baghdad

Tomatoes went from 700 Iraqi dinars per kilogram (about 50 US cents) to more than 3000. They dropped again, but back to 2000.

Tens of thousands of Iraqis are now fleeing every month.

"It's the first thing you talk about with friends," said a doctor I know. "They ask you if you are leaving."

He said he was trying to hang on, but it was getting harder every week.

Few Iraqis have much faith in their own government.

"What has Maliki done since he took over?" asked a businessman I spoke to last week.

Many Sunnis blame the government for their troubles, saying it has failed to clamp down on Shia militias accused of much of the sectarian killing.

But under the constant threat of Sunni insurgent attacks, Shias are driven more and more to the militias for protection.

The Americans may want to hand over more quickly to Iraq's official security forces, but fewer and fewer Iraqis trust these forces.

Playground gangs

The sectarian fissures now run through every level of society. "We have Sunni and Shia gangs now," a 14-year-old boy told me when I visited his school at the weekend.

"They fight each other in the playground."

"We need leaders," said an engineer friend, "people who can lead us out of this situation." There's little sign of that.

Almost every morning this week I've been woken by gunfire or an explosion in the city.

I lie in bed listening - trying to gauge how close it is, waiting to see if it will develop.

Often it does. I hear a burst of return fire, with a different sound. Then a gun-battle starts.

From every direction now, it feels like darkness is closing in.

ANBAR - THE ORIGINAL WAR

Several US media outlets have decided to declare that Iraq is officially in a civil war. The Bush administration rejects this. Nonetheless, the issue is the focus of the "what to do" debate in Washington.

Somehow forgotten is that the original "war" that began after the invasion still rages on - namely the Sunni-led insurgency, centred in Anbar province west of Baghdad.

This still claims by far the most US lives. Of nearly 2,900 American deaths since March 2003, almost 40% have died in this one desert region.

I've been to the province several times since the invasion. I was out there again recently, embedded with US marines near Falluja. On each visit, things seemed to have got worse. Even now, with more US troops in Baghdad than ever, the pattern is unchanged.

Nearly half the 106 Americans killed in October died in Anbar.

Attempts at winning hearts and minds in the overwhelmingly Sunni population have made little difference.

Anyone who co-operates with the Americans - or is even suspected of doing so - will be targeted by al-Qaeda in Iraq or one of the other groups operating there.

Residents say that in many areas, these groups are in control.

Adapting threat

Roadside bombs - or IEDs (improvised explosive devices) - remain the most deadly threat to the Americans, and the insurgents keep adapting, changing the way they set them off.

We've had no power for two weeks. Everything is difficult. Just to get food, I have to drive five or six kilometres
Farouk
Ramadi resident

"They're a lot more devious now," said one marine.

"First, it was pressure plates on the road," said Capt Eric Dominijanni, who is in charge of a company of armoured marine vehicles which patrol the roads around Falluja.

"Then they went to remotes to set off them off. Like garage door controllers."

As the marines deployed "electronic counter measures" to deal with this, the insurgents went back to an old technique, but using timers.

Bedside alarm clocks, anything will do.

"We often find IEDs with washing machine timers," the captain said.

Caught in the middle

Regardless of whether they support the insurgents or not, the people of Anbar are caught in the middle.

One resident of Ramadi - the provincial capital and one of the most violent places anywhere in Iraq - gave me a picture of life there now. I'll call him Farouk.

"We've had no power for two weeks. Everything is difficult. Just to get food, I have to drive five or six km to get to my nearest shop because of all the barriers and checkpoints," Farouk said. "The shop is just 300 metres from my home."

The Bush administration hopes the answer in places like Ramadi is for Iraqi security forces to take over more responsibility.

But the signs are not good. There are already many Iraqi units there. But they're widely hated by locals.

Most are from outside the region, and residents complain their behaviour towards them is often abusive.

"People say the Americans behave better than the Iraqi army and police," said Farouk.

IN IRAQ FOR THE MONEY

The US military depends more than ever on private contractors to keep its operations here going - not just to provide meals and other support services to the 150,000 US troops in Iraq, but to guard the convoys bringing in the food and supplies.

I was talking to one of these contractors recently, as he started his second tour.

He works as a gunner protecting convoys between Baghdad and Kuwait.

"We bring in everything - food, medical supplies and ammunition," he said.

And the convoys are regularly attacked, with far higher casualties than among US troops.

"We had 160 in our group on my last tour," he said. "We lost 40 guys." He was involved in several serious clashes himself.

I asked him why he kept coming back.

"Simple. The money," he replied.

I won't name his company, but the contractor told me he was earning almost US$17,000 dollars a month, tax-free, and with his health insurance covered.

He has a large family.

"Where else can I make that?"

For him, an early American withdrawal would be bad news.

"I need to do this for another three years. Then I can retire."

Previous Baghdad diaries:
Story from BBC NEWS:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/go/pr/fr/-/2/hi/middle_east/6205968.stm

Published: 2006/12/04 1220 GMT

© BBC MMVI
 masterrich

Joined: 2/13/2006
Msg: 125
This is how Bush's Iraq mess is shaping up
Posted: 12/22/2006 8:56:47 AM
how about replacing the word 'homeland' with fatherland' or any of the other fascist speeches made in america the last twenty years. read them carefully, they are identical with hitler's...replace the word 'jew' with 'liberal'...see? it's fun!
remember that if you make less tan 10 million dollars a year and vote republican, it is analagous with being a chiken and voting fo rcolonel sanders...
fear is for fearful people...
terrorism by definition is getting someone to behave a certain way by scaring them, right?
does that make our president one? How bout our buddy rush? just checking...
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