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 Author Thread: Global Warming's New 'Consensus'
 nefarious101

Joined: 7/25/2007
Msg: 1
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Global Warming's New 'Consensus'
Posted: 5/23/2008 9:48:38 AM
http://frontpagemag.com/Articles/Read.aspx?GUID=A42644B7-B2BA-4D3F-B0AE-801C6AA86741

List of signers by state
http://www.petitionproject.org/gwdatabase/Signers_BY_State.html

By Steven Milloy
Fox News | Friday, May 23, 2008

There’s a new global warming consensus in town.

It’s too bad the once-level-headed but now chicken-hearted Bush administration already has skedaddled, perhaps leaving our standard of living at the mercy of Barack Obama and his high regard for the international hate-America crowd.

The Oregon Institute of Science and Medicine this week announced that 31,072 U.S. scientists signed a petition stating that "… There is no convincing scientific evidence that human release of carbon dioxide, methane or other greenhouse gases is causing, or will cause in the future, catastrophic heating of the Earth’s atmosphere and disruption of the Earth’s climate..."

Eminent theoretical physicist Freeman Dyson is among the many distinguished signatories.

The OISM petition represents a direct challenge to the Al Gore-touted notion that a consensus of scientists has determined that catastrophic manmade global warming is real and that any debate over the science is pointless.


You might think that the Bush administration — which has been viciously attacked by Al Gore and the greens for pulling the U.S. out of the Kyoto Protocol and being generally skeptical of the science underlying global warming alarmism — would have embraced the new petition as support for its resistance to mandatory greenhouse gas emission caps.

But you’d be wrong. When given the chance to embrace vindication at a White House press briefing this week, deputy press secretary Dana Perino couldn’t run away fast enough.

A White House reporter asked Perino: "WorldNetDaily reports that more than 31,000 U.S. scientists, including 9,000 PhDs, now signed a petition rejecting global warming, the assumption that human production of greenhouse gases is damaging the Earth’s climate. My question: What is the White House reaction to these 31,000 scientists?"

While Perino could have responded with something akin to either "Yes, we know about the petition and we’re looking into it" or "No, we didn’t know about the petition but we will certainly look into it," she instead dismissed the question with an abrupt, "I would say that everyone is entitled to their opinion. What’s your next question?"

When the reporter tried to follow up with "That’s all?" Perino seemed to insist on remaining oblivious to the petition and its import by stating, "That’s all I’m going to say."

Well, at least Perino didn’t pull an "Al Gore" and label Dyson and the other 31,071 scientist-signatories as members of the Flat Earth Society.

In Perino’s defense, one might say that it is reasonable to disregard such petitions since science is about what is known or what can be proved about the natural world through systematic investigation rather than the number of scientists who are willing to publicly commit to a particular opinion.

On the other hand, global warming alarmism has been marketed to the public on the basis of the latter rather than the former.

We’ve been told that there’s a "consensus" of scientists — most often exemplified by the group of scientists working under the auspices of the U.N.’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change — that agrees manmade greenhouse gas emissions are or will wreak havoc on the climate.

Although dispute exists over whether there is, in fact, an actual consensus within the IPCC, head counts of scientists seem to be the name of the global warming game.

Since that is the case, the 31,000 scientist signatories assembled by the Oregon Institute of Science and Medicine would seem to trump the 600 or so in the alleged IPCC consensus. Sadly, the White House has taken such a beating over the years on climate that facts no longer matter.

As further evidence of its shell-shocked state of fact avoidance, just last week the Bush administration announced that it was listing the polar bear as "threatened" under the Endangered Species Act — even though there are many more polar bears today than 40 years ago and predictions of the bear’s demise are entirely based on politically inspired speculation.

The fact of the 31,000 scientists should matter to the White House, given what likely Democratic presidential nominee Barack Obama said this week.

In a campaign stop in Oregon, Obama called for the U.S. to "lead by example" on global warming. "We can’t drive our SUVs and eat as much as we want and keep our homes on 72 degrees at all times … and then just expect that other countries are going to say 'OK.' … That’s not leadership. That’s not going to happen," he said.

A President Obama apparently would decide how to regulate the pantries, thermostats and modes of personal transportation of his fellow Americans based on the emotional temperature of every non-American who happens to harbor an opinion on how we should live.

And although Republican presidential hopeful John McCain hasn’t been as blunt as Obama in respect to rolling back the American lifestyle, as reported in this column last week, he’s been drinking from the same batch of green Kool-Aid.

Sadly, the initial response from the Bush administration to relevant new facts that could prevent the imminent Obama-McCain attack on our standard of living seems to be, "See no consensus, hear no consensus, speak no consensus."
 flyguy51

Joined: 8/11/2005
Msg: 2
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Global Warming's New 'Consensus'
Posted: 5/23/2008 10:09:47 AM
Short answer: BS
Long answer:

Flawed Oregon Petition Rises Again
21 May 08
Climate "Science" by the Pound

A climate change petition started in 1988 by the tobacco industry's favourite scientist (Federick Seitz), has just been re-released with a reported 31,072 signatures of "scientists" - some of whom are reported to actually work in the field.

The Oregon Petition was originally started by Dr. Seitz (formerly the principal adviser to the RJ Reynolds medical research program) and by Arthur B. Robinson, a lapsed biochemist who now operates the one-man Oregon Institute of Science and Medicine.

Robinson himself was quoted recently saying that a survey was an inadequate way to pursue science. "The numbers shouldn’t matter. But if they want warm bodies, we have them.”

But that turns out to be an overstatement. Seitz, for example, died in March.

But the odd quirk has not lessened the excitement that this document is generating in the denier press. Take for example the breathless coverage offered by the National Post. Frequent contributor Lawrence Solomon declares that 32,000 is even more than the number of journalists who attended the Rio Earth Summit in 1992, which surely must prove something.

Of course, Solomon recently produced a whole book entitled The Deniers, which, despite the title, included NO ONE who actually takes issue with the fact that human-caused greenhouse gas emissions are warming the planet at an unprecedented rate.

Yet now he trumpets this ever-expanding list of (unsubstantiated) names and celebrates their credibility, bizarrely, on the basis that "the effort was spearheaded by Dr. Frederick Seitz, past president of the National Academy of Sciences and of Rockefeller University, and as reputable as they come."

"As reputable as they come"? Well that may have been true in 1962. when Seitz was appointed head of the National Academy of Sciences. It may still have been true in 1968, when he was named president at Rockefeller. But things apparently started going downhill, even before Seitz helped found the Exxon-funded George C. Marshall Institute, in 1984. And by 1989, Bill Hobbs, a senior executive at RJ Reynolds, was telling people that "Dr. Seitz is quite elderly and not sufficiently rational to offer advice." (He was just 78 at the time.)

So, here's a guy who ended his career as paid flak for the tobacco and arms industries, who wsas dismissed by a tobacco executive in 1989 as "not sufficiently rational," who nine years later embarrassed himself and the National Academy of Sciences by helping to present his bogus petition as a NAS project, and Lawrence Solomon calls him "as reputable as they come."

That should be very helpful in establishing the relative reputability of everyone else on this list.

One last comment: 32,000 turns out to be an interesting number. It's a favorite number for Art Robinson, keeper of the petition. That, he says, is how many copies he has sold of his Christian fundamentalist home-schooling kit - which is based, in part, on a free version of the 1911 Encyclopedia Brittanica.

As Larry Solomon might say: "as reputable as they come."

http://www.desmogblog.com/flawed-oregon-petition-rises-again

I'm sure there's plenty more rebuttals where that came from. As if climatologists have nothing better to do than concoct bad news for the last 30 years?

To me, it looks like desperate hands grabbing at 31,072 straws.
 nefarious101

Joined: 7/25/2007
Msg: 3
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Global Warming's New 'Consensus'
Posted: 5/23/2008 10:18:20 AM
Oh it's flawed? Good thing you posted that enviromental blog web thing. To make bring the flaw into context I posted the homepage of the blog for ya.

http://www.desmogblog.com/

Remember if you aren't green...you're one of, you know, them.
 dmotz

Joined: 7/25/2006
Msg: 4
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Global Warming's New 'Consensus'
Posted: 5/23/2008 10:25:54 AM
Global warming is a money grabbing hoax. In the 70's it was going to be another ice age...I have no problem with people who are environmentally conscience, but it takes a true gullible buffoon to think the earth is getting so hot we are about to kill it. To think every time we take a breath and let it out , we are killing the earth...if you believe this global warming B.S...stop breathing my air!
 Beaugrand®™©

Joined: 3/24/2008
Msg: 5
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Global Warming's New 'Consensus'
Posted: 5/23/2008 10:30:54 AM
If we prepare for, and take precautions to mitigate the damage due to global warming, like making cars more efficient and less polluting, and it turns out to be less serious than anticipated, we will end up with more efficient cars and less pollution.

If we continue our present policies and lifestyles, do nothing to prepare and it turns out worse than anticipated- we're screwed. All of us.

Apparently, this is a difficult decision for some. Unfortunately, opinions won't mean diddly when it comes down to it.
 Nightwing66

Joined: 8/1/2006
Msg: 6
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Global Warming's New 'Consensus'
Posted: 5/23/2008 10:33:01 AM
That didn't fly the first time around....doesn't get much milage this time either.

A cursory check of 5 random names from my state gave me a pharmcologist, a theologian, a psychologist, a Doctor of education, & a veterinarian.

I'm not in the habit of going to see my butcher when the car won't start, thank you.

 sanderick

Joined: 8/27/2007
Msg: 7
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Global Warming's New 'Consensus'
Posted: 5/23/2008 10:34:22 AM
The Founding Father of the Weather Channel, has been and continues to ask Al Gore to debate Global Warming.

Al Gore continues to refuse.

What is he trying to hide?

If the science is so sound, why doesn't he stand by his claims?

What is he afraid of?


Answer: The Truth.
 2wheel

Joined: 2/19/2007
Msg: 8
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Global Warming's New 'Consensus'
Posted: 5/23/2008 11:18:41 AM
Al Gore just started a 300 million dollar PR campaign to convince everybody.

When was the last time you saw 300 million bucks being spent to promote a scientific hypothesis that was already proven?


I wonder where that money is coming from? What's his agenda? Could it be that money making carbon tax?

And why he's not spending that $300 million on helping out those people in the Maldives who are in imminent danger of losing all their Islands due to sea levels rising by mm's per year
 17456

Joined: 12/8/2007
Msg: 9
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Global Warming's New 'Consensus'
Posted: 5/23/2008 11:27:25 AM
In my opinion the belief that humans are responsible for a changing climate is similar to believing that a group doing a raindance will actually make it rain.

Nevertheless the idea caught on and there's money to be made in 'going green' so it's unlikely to be dismissed anytime soon regardless of what 'science' is saying now.

Think of it this way, the more gas prices rise the less we all drive and thus the more we save the planet. If you buy into the global warming thing then you should be very happy about the rise in gas prices and hope it goes higher.
 nefarious101

Joined: 7/25/2007
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Global Warming's New 'Consensus'
Posted: 5/23/2008 11:29:50 AM
What better to scare the masses that tell them they live on a dying planet. Temps fall and the global cooling ball got rolling. Then the worst possible thing happened...it got warmer and thus the death of global cooling and the birth of global warming. Once again something awful happened...temps start to moderate or even cool. Panic struck until someone uttered the wisest of words...climate change!! That way no matter what kind of natural cooling and heating cycle the panic can continue. Hooray!!!
 flyguy51

Joined: 8/11/2005
Msg: 11
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Global Warming's New 'Consensus'
Posted: 5/23/2008 12:03:32 PM
Hey, I could have just dismissed your article as another casualty of Fox News bias and questionable fact-finding methods. But I decided to go above and beyond such simple name calling and actually show how the article is misleading. Too bad others cannot do the same.
 The Artful Codger

Joined: 2/29/2008
Msg: 12
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Global Warming's New 'Consensus'
Posted: 5/23/2008 12:07:42 PM
Fox News, pffft.

Some things Freeman Dyson has said in the last few years:

"One of the main causes of warming is the increase of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere resulting from our burning of fossil fuels such as oil and coal and natural gas."

"As a result of the burning of coal and oil, the driving of cars, and other human activities, the carbon dioxide in the atmosphere is increasing at a rate of about half a percent per year. … The physical effects of carbon dioxide are seen in changes of rainfall, cloudiness, wind strength, and temperature, which are customarily lumped together in the misleading phrase "global warming."

"This phrase is misleading because the warming caused by the greenhouse effect of increased carbon dioxide is not evenly distributed. In humid air, the effect of carbon dioxide on the transport of heat by radiation is less important, because it is outweighed by the much larger greenhouse effect of water vapor. The effect of carbon dioxide is more important where the air is dry, and air is usually dry only where it is cold. The warming mainly occurs where air is cold and dry, mainly in the arctic rather than in the tropics, mainly in winter rather than in summer, and mainly at night rather than in daytime. The warming is real, but it is mostly making cold places warmer rather than making hot places hotter. To represent this local warming by a global average is misleading, because the global average is only a fraction of a degree while the local warming at high latitudes is much larger."

"I'm not saying the warming doesn't cause problems, obviously it does. Obviously we should be trying to understand it. I'm saying that the problems are being grossly exaggerated. They take away money and attention from other problems that are much more urgent and important. Poverty, infectious diseases, public education and public health. Not to mention the preservation of living creatures on land and in the oceans."

http://www.edge.org/3rd_culture/dysonf07/dysonf07_index.html
http://www.umich.edu/news/index.html?DysonWinCom05
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Freeman_Dyson


The petition was started 10 years ago, right after Kyoto and thousands signed in 1998 & 1999. As many as 15,535 may not have signed since the latest IPCC report came out. A quick look at the breakdown of the people who have signed the petition include...

Signatories with academic credentials in Atmospheric Science (114), Climatology (40), Meteorology (341 ), Earth Science (107), Geochemistry (62), Environmental Science (256), Oceanography (86). (= 1006)

Signatories with academic credentials in Mechanical Engineering (2,581), Electrical Engineering (2,075), Engineering (7,289), Medicine (2,343), Biology (985), Food Science (74), Metallurgy (387). (= 15,734)

Source: petitionproject.org


Metallurgists? Electrical Engineers? Food Scientists? LMAO.


 Ottawa_Chicklet

Joined: 8/5/2006
Msg: 13
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Global Warming's New 'Consensus'
Posted: 5/23/2008 12:11:44 PM

If we prepare for, and take precautions to mitigate the damage due to global warming, like making cars more efficient and less polluting, and it turns out to be less serious than anticipated, we will end up with more efficient cars and less pollution.

If we continue our present policies and lifestyles, do nothing to prepare and it turns out worse than anticipated- we're screwed. All of us.

Apparently, this is a difficult decision for some. Unfortunately, opinions won't mean diddly when it comes down to it.


I nominate the above as the PoF post of the year.

Amazing how far a little common sense takes ya.
 nefarious101

Joined: 7/25/2007
Msg: 14
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Global Warming's New 'Consensus'
Posted: 5/23/2008 12:15:48 PM
Oh well...you gave it your best shot.
 Ottawa_Chicklet

Joined: 8/5/2006
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Global Warming's New 'Consensus'
Posted: 5/23/2008 12:16:02 PM

What better to scare the masses that tell them they live on a dying planet. Temps fall and the global cooling ball got rolling. Then the worst possible thing happened...it got warmer and thus the death of global cooling and the birth of global warming. Once again something awful happened...temps start to moderate or even cool. Panic struck until someone uttered the wisest of words...climate change!! That way no matter what kind of natural cooling and heating cycle the panic can continue. Hooray!!!



Goodness gracious... I don't even know where to start pulling that apart.

Let me start by this.

Name the 5 hottest years on record.

Here's a hint: 4 of them happened in the 21st century. So 8 years in, and 4 are the hottest on record. You can toss the last 2 because of La Nina, but things should be back to "normal" next year.

So, I ask... where is the cooling trend?
 nefarious101

Joined: 7/25/2007
Msg: 16
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Global Warming's New 'Consensus'
Posted: 5/23/2008 12:23:45 PM
I'm really sorry that I don't go to the global warming church and seek the praises of the almighty algore. I feel like the guy on invasion of the body snatchers...all the snatchers start pointing at ya and making the creepy noise.
 get_mad_baby

Joined: 4/9/2005
Msg: 17
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Global Warming's New 'Consensus'
Posted: 5/23/2008 12:24:44 PM

Global warming is a money grabbing hoax. In the 70's it was going to be another ice age...I have no problem with people who are environmentally conscience, but it takes a true gullible buffoon to think the earth is getting so hot we are about to kill it. To think every time we take a breath and let it out , we are killing the earth...if you believe this global warming B.S...stop breathing my air!

It's obvious that rightwinggoodguy doesn't understand the science behind global warming. But, what can one expect out of someone who is educated through the corporate media, sad that it's escaped people like him.

Here's global warming in a few sentences rightwinggoodguy. We're burning fossil fuels, which is oil and coal, mostly composed of carbon and hydrogen. The carbon dioxide from the resulting oxidization (burning) of these fuels builds up in the atmosphere and acts as a big heavy blanket. We have charts and graphs to back this up, a global warming denier has only the power of ignorance and denial.
 The Eloi

Joined: 4/14/2008
Msg: 18
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Global Warming's New 'Consensus'
Posted: 5/23/2008 12:30:29 PM
The earth is beleived to be 4.5 - 5 billion years old.. with humans first appearing in the past 200,000 years.. with a couple of hundred years of recorded history to work with.

4 of the past 5 hottest years (on record) happened in the past 8 years of the 21st century, and that means that we are changing/affecting the 5 billion year old planet ?

If I walk into a store 1 minute before closing time, and watch the activity in the store for that one full minute, and they don't sell anything, can I then conclude that the store is in trouble or might be going out of business?
 dmotz

Joined: 7/25/2006
Msg: 19
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Global Warming's New 'Consensus'
Posted: 5/23/2008 12:34:02 PM

We have charts and graphs to back this up, a global warming denier has only the power of ignorance and denial.



So I guess those 31,000 scientists are wrong and algore and his money grabbing cronies{of which you seem to want to be} are the only correct ones? I will wager you this...in 20 years you will still be spewing your liberal end of the world garbage and in the mean time...life goes on.
 Nightwing66

Joined: 8/1/2006
Msg: 20
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Global Warming's New 'Consensus'
Posted: 5/23/2008 12:48:34 PM
Not for the dead coral reefs of the coast of Florida/Australia/Africa it doesn't.

They must not have read that petition signed by veterinarians & schoolmarms.
 LoonyTunz

Joined: 8/11/2006
Msg: 21
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Global Warming's New 'Consensus'
Posted: 5/23/2008 3:44:01 PM
If we prepare for, and take precautions to mitigate the damage due to global warming, like making cars more efficient and less polluting, and it turns out to be less serious than anticipated, we will end up with more efficient cars and less pollution.

If we continue our present policies and lifestyles, do nothing to prepare and it turns out worse than anticipated- we're screwed. All of us.

Apparently, this is a difficult decision for some. Unfortunately, opinions won't mean diddly when it comes down to it.


I nominate the above as the PoF post of the year.

Amazing how far a little common sense takes ya. [/quote}

For sure and I'd pay extra(for a decent performing fuel miser vehicle) just to stick it to the oil companies like they've stuck it to me for years (hard and dry no dinner first let alone a kiss). But then again I can be a vindictive SOB.

EDIT:

The Founding Father of the Weather Channel, has been and continues to ask Al Gore to debate Global Warming.

Al Gore continues to refuse.

What is he trying to hide?

Would you bother talking weather with a guy than can't reliable tell you if it will rain next week? Global warming may be a hoax, it may be worse than all the chicken little's have thought, but a meteorologist still wouldn't evoke much confidence in whichever side he came down on.
 Ottawa_Chicklet

Joined: 8/5/2006
Msg: 22
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Global Warming's New 'Consensus'
Posted: 5/23/2008 4:38:51 PM

The earth is beleived to be 4.5 - 5 billion years old.. with humans first appearing in the past 200,000 years.. with a couple of hundred years of recorded history to work with.

4 of the past 5 hottest years (on record) happened in the past 8 years of the 21st century, and that means that we are changing/affecting the 5 billion year old planet ?

If I walk into a store 1 minute before closing time, and watch the activity in the store for that one full minute, and they don't sell anything, can I then conclude that the store is in trouble or might be going out of business?


Yes, of course we were driving cars 200,000 years ago. *rolls eyes*

Why don't you go back and look at the graphs since the industrial revolution. From those, you will see a steady incline in world temperature. Especially in the 21st century. ;-)
 LoonyTunz

Joined: 8/11/2006
Msg: 23
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Global Warming's New 'Consensus'
Posted: 5/23/2008 4:57:44 PM
Ottawa, I am not disputing there has been a slight increase in temperature recently. But historically speaking, what happened to Irelands' growing season? In our recorded history (no daily temps to go with it) Ireland once had a much longer growing season, heck Greenland was even smaller and may have had some actual green.
Cause and effect aren't as clear cut as they seem at first glance.
 longshot61

Joined: 1/11/2008
Msg: 24
Global Warming's New 'Consensus'
Posted: 5/23/2008 4:59:11 PM
I'm not a climatologist, nor do I pretend to understand the the science behind all this, but I can tell you this: A couple of months ago NASA anounced that the Earth had actually cooled by about two degrees in the last one hundred years, This past winter America saw more snow cover than at any time in the last one hundred years,China just went through it's worst winter in over fifty years, a winter so severe that about 15-20 percent of it's forest land was destroyed by the extreme cold, and irredescent clouds, normally only seen in the polar regions, have been seen as far south as the eastern US seaboard. And the melting Antarctic ice sheet? Turns out there is a volcano under it that's starting to heat up. While "climate change" is certainly real,and a natural phenomenon, it appears that while the polar caps are warming, the rest is cooling. It wouldn't hurt to stop burning up so much middle eastern oil,though, as long as I don't have to give up my four wheel drive pick-up.
 *thebestguyhere*

Joined: 3/30/2008
Msg: 25
Global Warming's New 'Consensus'
Posted: 5/23/2008 5:17:02 PM
global warming is a huge lie, the weather channel who are actually qualified to know these things have stated that the earth is actually cooling. I had to wear a jacket today and it's almost june ? Not that this is scientific proof but It kind of pisses me off waiting for summer.
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