| | Overpopulation Alarmism - Which Daughter should live?Page 1 of 1 | I had a coffee date eariler today with someone I met as a result of this site. Now, before you all start with the hi-fives and slaps on the back, lemme tell ya, it didn't go so well. Here's the story...
I was walking along the trail by the river here in Moncton and as I was crossing the covered bridge a woman approached me and said she recognized me from my photo on POF. So after exchanging pleasentries we went to a nearby coffee shop to talk and the conversation took a turn for the worse. She brought up the 'overpopulation problem' facing the world and was quite well versed in the conventional mainstream rhetoric on the subject. Human beings are a cancer on this planet was mentioned, statistics pulled out of thin air were cited, carbon dioxide was called a poison and bringing world population down below 2 billion over the next 40-50 years was deemed crucial, etc. Me, not being able to get a word in for about an hour, and not wanting to be rude, well, I had had enough.
I wasn't about to try and debunk the beliefs this person held so strongly because years of programming by pseudo-science, mainstream media and the ruling superclass cannot be overcome in a single sitting, nor does pointing out a single fallacy or bit of flawed logic in one's world view do any good. So I graciously awaited a break in the deluge and when she took the next sip of coffee I said:
"You mentioned earlier that you have two daughters?"
"Yes" she replied "and they are my whole world."
"And I assume you'd give your life to save one of them?" I added.
"Absolutely! I'd give my life in a heartbeat to save one of them!" She replied.
Me: "So if you say it's crucial to reduce the population of the planet by more than two thirds, which daughter would you take with you when you die?"
She stared at me in astonishment. You could see a rapid succession of emotions in her face and eyes.
"There's three people in your family and two thirds need to die to save the world. Two of you would need to die in the next 40-50 years. How do you think these deaths will take place - poisoning, shooting, disease?
You spent the last hour advocating genocide. Did you ever stop to think who is going to die in this depopulation thing? What makes you think you and your kids will be spared?"
And I got up and walked out.
So, all you philosophers out there - what say you?
Paul | |
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| Overpopulation Alarmism - Which Daughter should live? Posted: 6/30/2012 10:22:51 PM | These types are always comfortable dealing with the deaths of millions so long as it's in the abstract. Depersonalized death is easy to deal with. The SS guards at the concentration camps dealt with it without major psychological issues. The ones like Paul and Anne Ehrlich and their protege, John Holdren, seem quite comfortable dealing with the concept of doing away with approximately 5.5 billion of us, which would leave some 500 - 550 million to service their 'needs' as they make 'Holy Mutha the Urf' safe for themselves. You did the right thing by placing this woman in the position of being forced to consider - on a very personal basis - about making her very own 'Sophie's Choice' - the same choice she was recommending be made by everyone else. I doubt, tho', that her vision includes such a thing as 'choice'. It's probably more likely to be cattle cars or brick walls and a firing squad.
This is a great 'teachable moment' about avoiding people from this site who just walk up and introduce themselves because they recognize you from a photo here. Since you gave her more than she expected, perhaps she'll think twice before being so rude as to intrude on someone merely because she recognizes them from PoF. Or not ... | |
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| Overpopulation Alarmism - Which Daughter should live? Posted: 6/30/2012 11:49:31 PM |
...nor does pointing out a single fallacy or bit of flawed logic in one's world view do any good. Not always to the holder of it, but when it's posted on a public message board it can be worthwhile to point out the fallacy for the benefit of anyone reading who might otherwise be duped or persuaded.
So that's why I figure it's worth mentioning that this thread, referring to "Overpopulation Alarmism" is using a highly alarmist strawman (fallacy) to make a dubious point. | |
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| Overpopulation Alarmism - Which Daughter should live? Posted: 7/1/2012 12:11:41 AM |
So that's why I figure it's worth mentioning that this thread, referring to "Overpopulation Alarmism" is using a highly alarmist strawman (fallacy) to make a dubious point.
I did make a dubious point in the conversation with the lady I met, because:
...nor does pointing out a single fallacy or bit of flawed logic in one's world view do any good.
I felt that speaking in a way she'd readily understand would make the most impact on her in the shortest period of time.
That may be the lazy man's way but I simply didn't have the stomach to sit there and listen to her any longer than I did.
Paul | |
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| Overpopulation Alarmism - Which Daughter should live? Posted: 7/1/2012 3:05:40 AM | I say you blew it big time, Paulsar.
You are the one who argued the most fallaciously in the scene you describe.
While I also don't subscribe to the alarmist views about so-called overpopulation, I have not heard any significant number of people proposing to accomplish a population reduction by means other than slowing the birthrate, and letting normal attrition do the rest. Unless this particular woman actually said to you (you didn't say that she did) that she thought that solving the problem required genocide, then it is you who jumped to a self-righteous illogical extreme.
Your self-administered back-pats are not deserved. | |
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| Overpopulation Alarmism - Which Daughter should live? Posted: 7/1/2012 5:04:55 AM | Igor, the lady stressed that it was crucial to depopulate the planet within 40-50 years. I just can't see that happening in such a short period of time by slowing the birthrate. Within the context of her dialog, the only way for it to happen so quickly would be the unnatural or assisted deaths of a significant portion of the population at the hands of humans. Is it such a stretch to call that genocide?
My "self-righteous illogical extreme" reply was fallacious and dubious as someone above skillfully pointed out, to which I replied that I did it to extract myself from the conversation while also alerting her to how self-righteous, illogical and extreme her views were. Nowhere in this thread did I say that my side of the argument was valid, only that I was speaking to her using the same level of faulty logic that she was using because I thought it was the most effective way of 'speaking to her in her own language', so to speak.
And I wasn't patting myself on the back. This is a dating site and getting a date, or meeting someone as a result of being here on this site is considered somewhat of a victory as far as I can see from reading through the forums here. So I cautioned readers to not jump the gun until they had read the entirety of my post.
I see now that I'll need to explain myself more clearly in future posts. And that statement doesn't mean I think people here are lacking in intelligence or anything, it's obvious that I erred in communicating the original story effectively.
Thanks to everyone for the replies. I appreciate you all for taking the time to write your thoughts here.
Paul | |
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| Overpopulation Alarmism - Which Daughter should live? Posted: 7/1/2012 5:31:13 AM | Not a problem and no apology was necessary, Igor.
I run into people with views like her's all the time and no matter how hard I've tried, I've found that the only way I can get them to think about what they're regurgitating is to employ even more extreme than they do to try and get them to see the flaws themselves. It almost never works, but at least it lobotomizes them temporarily and the shock to their system might get them to reconsider their view.
I wish I knew of another way to get through to people.
Paul | |
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| Overpopulation Alarmism - Which Daughter should live? Posted: 7/1/2012 6:20:33 AM | I have found that many of the most rabid extremists when it comes to a particular view are often the least educated in terms how practical their positions actually are.
A very common one that I run into are people that are rabidly opposed to the use of Oil. They believe somehow that if we installed solar panels or increased MPG on vehicles that suddenly our need for Oil would vanish overnight. The facts are actually far, far more challenging.
Another one is those that believe the World's oil pricing could be magically fixed by "Drill, baby, Drill." This group feels that all that stands between cheap oil and the public is a bunch of politicians protecting seals. They somehow believe that indiscriminate drilling would bring back $2 gasoline. Once again, the actual facts are far, far more challenging.
Here is an excerpt from a post I made about 5 years ago from the now defunct Politics forum explaining just SOME of the difficulties involved in Peak Oil and the substitution problem...
while gasoline for cars does represent the bulk of oil consumption, a large part of oil demand is not from passenger cars.
Even if everyone in the US switched to hybrid cars tomorrow (not going to happen unless they tax cars/gasoline sky-high, subsidize hybrids like crazy, or just oulaw regular cars), it would only address a small part of the problem.
US gasoline consumption for cars/light trucks is 140 billion gallons per year.
Increasing mileage by 15% for every car in the US would reduce consumption by ~ 21 billion gallons to 119 billion gallons.
If gasoline consumption continues to grow at 2% per year, you would reach 140 billion gallons of demand in approximately 8 years, and you are back to where you started.
Additionally, consider the following...
-Virtually all trucks require diesel -Virtually all trains run on diesel -Virtually all ships run on diesel -All planes consume jet fuel (no current substitutes) -All plastics (nylon, rayon, PVC, etc) require petroleum derivatives (no current substitutes) -Most manufacturing uses oil derivatives (ethylene, benzene, toluene, etc) in one form or another (no current substitutes) -Most fertilizers and virtually all pesticides are created from oil derivatives (no current substitutes) -All asphalt requires oil derivatives
As for home energy consumption, crude oil only supplies 3% of the entire US electrical grid. 50% is from coal, 18% from natural gas, 19% from nuclear, 8% from hydro-electric, with renewables comprising ~2%.
Put in all the solar panels you want. The impact on US oil consumption is trivial.
Finally, biofuels just trades one problem for another. Producing corn to create ethanol just substitutes food for fuel. Corn is heavily used in the feeding of livestock as well as human food and syrup for sweeteners in cooking and beverages. Creating billions of gallons of Ethanol demand drives prices for corn sky-high, while at the same time driving up the price of other crops that grow on corn-friendly land such as soybeans (also used for feed and food).
This is aside from the fact that meeting global gasoline demand would require clear-cutting hundreds of millions of acres of forest world-wide.
The entire US corn crop was approximately 9 billion bushels in 2006. This is anticipated to rise to 13 billion bushels in 2007.
Current technology allows the production of 2.5 gallons of ethanol per bushel of corn.
If you took the entire 2007 corn crop of the US and converted it to Ethanol, you would yield approximately 32.5 billion gallons of Ethanol.
Current US gasoline consumption for light vehicles alone (passenger cars and light trucks) is approximately 140 billion gallons of Gasoline.
Think about this carefully.
Entire US corn crop - 13 billion bushels IF the Entire US corn crop was converted to Ethanol - 32.5 billion gallons US Light vehicle Gasoline consumption - 140 billion gallons
Average corn yield per acre - 140 bushels Average ethanol yield per acre - 350 gallons
Total acres required to match shortfall to switch to 100% ethanol - 308 million Acres
Total US acres currently growing corn - 90 million acres Total farmland in the United States - 983 million acres Percent of worldwide corn production represented by the US - 10.3%
In other words, if you convert almost 1/2 of all US farmland to corn production, then convert ALL the corn to Ethanol, you would have just enough ethanol to fuel the existing cars on the road. This would be assuming that all the land was suitable for growing corn (which it isn't).
You would then need to plant another 80 million acres every year just to keep up with growing gasoline demand. In less than 10 years, you would then run out of farmland and need to start levelling forests or cities.
Another way to look at it is if you took 1/2 of all the corn grown on the Planet Earth and converted it to ethanol, you would have just enough to fuel all the light vehicles in the United States, and within 6 years would be consuming ALL the corn on the planet.
This does not include trucks, buses, planes, ships or trains.
This assumes of course that either you don't want any food grown in the US at all, or that you want to eliminate corn use worldwide for anything but Ethanol.
The entire thread is still available here. http://forums.plentyoffish.com/datingPosts3837537.aspx | |
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| Overpopulation Alarmism - Which Daughter should live? Posted: 7/1/2012 10:19:42 AM | Around the war of 1812, they had muskets and canon. Not very refined canons, just point then the general direction. No trains, boats still had sails, the horse the main source of power and transportation. Steam engine wasn't very practical until Corliss refinements around 1850, but first early steam locomotives where about 1810. Start of steamships about the same time, but only practical on rivers or coast lines, not across oceans. You kind of get the picture of life and what existed in 1812.
Now fast forward 100 years to 1912. Some people born in 1812 lived to be 90 or turn of century to 1900. A lot of progress was made in those 88 years. The telegraph, practical steamships across oceans made trips in record time, and trains everywhere. The very start of automobiles, toys for rich and wealthy. Construction using steam powered equipment. Yes lots of progress. But still no planes, man couldn't fly, no cars, horses still main source of travel throughout USA. No electric, phone, TV, radio, sweepers, washing machines, permanent press clothes, antibiotics, x-rays photos in infancy, nuclear power.
Well you get the picture. Most of what we use today all came about in the last 112 years. I don't think we can imagine the world 100 years from today, let alone 200 years. Things are gone to happen that would probably please us, and much will disgust us. As for me I think humans will be able to reproduce any species that is still living 50 years from today, or maybe even to create versions of their own. The same with humans. In fact I would bet the sources of meat protein will be inanimate and feed with tubes. Super computers will be on par with human thought and just given tasks to find solutions in record times. Science will be able to conceive and develop babies in artificial wombs.
People of my age wouldn't like this world of the future, much like my great great grand parents wouldn't like my world. As a species our technology will move forward ever faster. | |
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GGarbo
| | Joined: 10/8/2007 Msg: 11 | |
| Overpopulation Alarmism - Which Daughter should live? Posted: 7/1/2012 12:20:41 PM | | The population is leveling out and stabilizing. Models show its peaked already in several countries. The best way to control population is not make people feel they have to struggle for survival. It is the most destitute that have the most babies. I think its a survival mechanism. If we feel threatened...we re-produce more. | |
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| Overpopulation Alarmism - Which Daughter should live? Posted: 7/4/2012 1:03:56 AM | You'll find much the same reasoning used in a critique of free market capitalism, published online, which asks who can we consider disposable:
“This is a tricky question. Except in the case of self-defense, if for any reason we answer “Yes”, regardless of what that reason is, we are in effect agreeing with the proposition of disposing of human beings. Whether disposal be from deprivation or execution, the result is the same for the victim. If we agree that sometimes, for some reasons, it is acceptable and permissible to dispose of human beings, actively or passively, the next question is “Which people?” Of course I will never argue that one of them should be me, though perhaps it should be you. You respond in kind, it cannot be you, but maybe it should be me. Not only can it not be you, it also cannot be your spouse, your children, your mother or father, your friends, your neighbors, but, maybe someone else. Naturally I feel the same way. Maybe we come to an agreement that it shouldn’t be either you or me, or our families and friends, that can be disposed of, but perhaps someone else. While we are debating this — passionately and sincerely, no doubt — a third party comes along and without warning disposes of the both of us, or our families, or our friends. And there is the trap we have fallen into, because whether or not we approve of our or our families’ and friends’ demise is irrelevant. It is fair because we accepted the principle of human disposability. We just didn’t intend that it be us who are tossed, but if we or our families and friends die, it is in accordance with principles that we ourselves have accepted and so must live — and die — by. “ | |
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| Overpopulation Alarmism - Which Daughter should live? Posted: 7/4/2012 9:01:59 AM | ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ Just to beat the hell out of my favorite drum,
The first priority of humanity needs to be escaping the gravity well........
And creating a viable existence free of the planet.
Until that's achieved everything else needs to be accomplished too,....
but as a secondary priority. | |
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| Overpopulation Alarmism - Which Daughter should live? Posted: 7/4/2012 1:14:54 PM | I think you responded in a most cruel and selfish way.
You state:
I've found that the only way I can get them to think about what they're regurgitating is to employ even more extreme than they do to try and get them to see the flaws themselves. It almost never works, but at least it lobotomizes them temporarily and the shock to their system might get them to reconsider their view.
So,,,you go for the shock effect. You ask a mother which child she would give up. Just for effect. Just to try to make her think.
I think that you need therapy. You simply didn't like the way she thinks and feel that you're the sole person on the planet to control and change how people who don;t think like you think ( and likely behave). | |
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| Overpopulation Alarmism - Which Daughter should live? Posted: 7/4/2012 1:24:24 PM | Re OP
I dont think (Depopulation) is something to be carried out overnight, but a generation or two to take affect, seems some are saying that an only child does just as well in school without a sibling and just as happy etc, so depopulating isnt a bad idea, is it? it will free up a lot of resources, maybe give some rainforests a chance to recover, because once they go then thats it, its the end and the global warning will hit us................................20 minutes later...............................................nt a third more like a quarter on average including the it takes two to tango to theory
see Link
http://forum.prisonplanet.com/index.php?topic=217843.0
I had a look see and i think its a good idea, and if existing parents want another one they can hop over where they sell babies and save one from suffering a future life on the streets? | |
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| Overpopulation Alarmism - Which Daughter should live? Posted: 7/5/2012 12:36:17 AM | Well, I'd feel stupid if this didn't actually happen, as so often seems to happen in threads such as these; someone inevitably comes in and claims the op is under a new profile back to their old tricks of stirring the pot. That said, if she's got kids, she can easily be called a hypocrite, which is essentially what you did. Sofar so good-
If you hadn't called her out on her shit, and rode out the meeting, biting your tongue/going along with her, or at least being neutral- she may have been consciously or subconsciously testing you with that topic.
Now, if she was otherwise attractive, her test to see if you were humouring her-would have yeilded in a pass/fail to which the control rested in her hands. I personally respect the choice you made, whereas she may have dated you again, despite the results of her test; or not, if her "fail" judgement of you helped her to decide she wanted nothing more.
Still with me?
So to recap- (assuming) you may have been otherwise attracted, you gave up the potential to get some action in favour of calling someone out on their(seemingly) small minded outlook. You wanted to know if you did the right thing, correct? If you are really wanting an opinion on the topic being discussed,
I have found that many of the most rabid extremists when it comes to a particular view are often the least educated in terms how practical their positions actually are.
A very common one that I run into are people that are rabidly opposed to the use of Oil Here is an excerpt from a post I made about 5 years ago from the now defunct Politics forum explaining just SOME of the difficulties involved in Peak Oil and the substitution problem... I won't include his entire post. Good read, though-
I say, then- we kill two birds with one stone: I say we take the "oyl" out of "Soylent Oil", or "Soylenthenol" and fuel our needs with the oil of the deceased. Population control? -check Dwindling fossil fuel resource alternative? -check Win- win for everyone. (well not quite) | |
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| Overpopulation Alarmism - Which Daughter should live? Posted: 7/5/2012 1:29:48 AM | Wow!!, bit brutal......but I see the OP is no longer with us.
Although the population growth may have stabilised in certain countries the race to have a 'western' lifestyle is just hotting up.
I would have actually agreed on certain points with the lady in question but wouldn't have let her rant on. Debate, cooperation and compromise is the key to managing the consequences of the predicament the human species is facing, not been hostile and confrontation.
Go down that route and every-bodies nightmares will be realised. | |
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| Overpopulation Alarmism - Which Daughter should live? Posted: 7/15/2012 12:16:28 PM | I just happened to run across this video this morning.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HsAracLBCxI
Overpopulation is a myth. I haven't actually heard it put like this before. Interesting view. | |
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| Overpopulation Alarmism - Which Daughter should live? Posted: 7/16/2012 11:51:45 PM |
Overpopulation is a myth.
Interesting video but it doesn't put the real issues into context, the growth in energy usage and the race towards a 'western' lifestyle.
As we reached peak (easy to get to) oil in 2005 it's decline will mean that the energy won't be there to produce all the food needed in the future for the growing population.
Sure, we have all this fracking malarkey and the rise in LPG production but we've had this technology for decades. What's changed is the price people are willing to pay for this energy. As the price has risen the resources and technologies used to utilise these (hard to get to) energies is justifiable but, as we can see, it has a detrimental effect on economies.
As energy becomes more and more expensive as it becomes harder to get to the effects will lead to even harsher economical effects.....and a declining population.
The population of any species rises as it finds a niche with abundant energies and always declines as these energies becomes less abundant per capita....simple demographics really  | |
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